F1 Canadian Grand Prix betting preview 6/19: Maximum speed for Verstappen

Max Verstappen drives for Red Bull Racing
Photo of Matt Selz

Matt Selz

F1 · 1 week ago

Show Bio

NASCAR handicapper for Pickswise, looking to give you winners throughout the season!

Round 9 of the Formula One 2022 season is on Sunday with the Canadian Grand Prix. The Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve is one of the favorites on the schedule for many fans and we’re expecting a lot of hype for this weekend’s race, which is the first in Canada since 2019.

In terms of handicapping the track, the Canadian GP is one that’s similar to a few other tracks on the F1 schedule. Let’s take a look at the circuit for this weekend’s race. 

Canadian Grand Prix betting strategy

The Circuit Gilles-Villeneuve is a 4.361 km or 2.7-mile, 14-turn layout on Ile Notre-Dame in the St. Lawrence River. Montreal is a fan-favorite as well as a driver-favorite layout. It’s similar to last week’s circuit of Baku for the Azerbaijan GP with a combination of very fast straights and tight, slow corners. That means the setups we saw last week that worked should be working again this week. Porpoising has been a huge discussion point this week and we should expect to see more this week given the length of the straights.

The trick with this track is trying to figure out if we’re going to have a race with a lot of overtaking or one with little overtaking. It seems to be a one-or-the-other type of track. There’s also the Wall of Champions to watch out for coming off Turn 14.

Outright winner bets

All odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Best bet: Max Verstappen (-190)

Max Verstappen has been nearly unbeatable for most of the last year and a half. In the last 28 races he’s missed the podium just a handful of times and when he’s been on the podium he’s been either first or second all but once. He’s been the fastest all weekend thus far, and by a good margin. Red Bull hasn’t had porpoising issues this year and has had excellent pit strategy in nearly every race. That’s a winning combination for the world championship leader to add to his lead in Montreal.

Charles Leclerc (+700)

Clearly things haven’t been going well for Leclerc recently. Two DNFs in the last 3 races and now a 10-spot grid penalty in place for this weekend. He’s had the pace, mostly, to stick with Verstappen this year and had the race going in his favor last weekend before his engine blew. If the grid penalty is too much to make you feel comfortable with this bet, Carlos Sainz has been very racy this weekend as well and so long as he can keep it on track, he could be a factor for the win at +650.

Sebastian Vettel (+8000)

Do you remember what happened last time F1 was in Montreal for the Canadian Grand Prix? Sebastian Vettel arguably should have won — he felt so strongly he moved the P2 marker in front of Hamilton’s car. He’s been fantastic at this track in his career and given that Aston Martin have been making improvements to a car that looks eerily similar to the Red Bulls, he should have pace. In FP2 he ran P4 and he had pace at Baku last weekend as well. This track is known for chaos erupting from time-to-time and if Vettel can capitalize on it, there’s pace to win.

Canadian GP best prop bets

Fernando Alonso podium finish (+500)

Fernando Alonso has been lighting up the speed charts in practice the last few weeks. He’s been no worse than P5 so far this weekend. If we take out a few of the drivers with issues from the equation ahead of him, there’s a shot for a podium here for Alonso. Let’s also not forget that Alpine was the fastest in straight line speed in Baku and were very tough to pass in the tight corners as well.

Number of drivers to lead a lap: 2 (+100)

Max Verstappen should lead most of the race. However, he has to pit at some point. When he does, it’s likely he gives up the lead for at least a lap before either overtaking the leader or simply going back to the lead due to pit strategy. If that scenario, there are only two leaders of the race. It’s nice getting an even return for something like this. If you want to feel a bit riskier, you could go with 3 leaders at +200 in case someone leads after Verstappen pits from the lead and someone else briefly leads a single lap as well.

AlphaTauri double top-10 Finish (+600)

Both of the AlphaTauris have had great race pace over the last few weekends, not including Monaco where pace doesn’t much matter. They’ve got that pace again with both cars finishing in the top-six in FP2. It was mainly bad luck for Yuki Tsunoda last week when his rear wing snapped while he was charging through the field. The pairing of Pierre Gasly and Tsunoda should have enough speed to hit this bet. If you’re feeling very lively and think the FP2 speed compares to race pace, take a +8000 flier on a double top-6 finish for the AlphaTauri pairing.

Max Verstappen fastest lap (+115)

Is there special reasoning here? Nope not really. He’s fast and he wants all the championship points he can get, as does Red Bull. His teammate has been off the pace again this weekend and with Ferrari’s reliability issues, it shouldn’t be that hard for Verstappen to earn us plus-money on this bet.

Our expert Formula One handicappers provide race analysis, betting advice and F1 Predictions and F1 Picks on every race.

Virginia Bonuses

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$200

Bet $5, Win $200 In Free Bets!

Sign up for a new account with FanDuel Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any sport, any market

Win $200 in free bets regardless if your bet wins or loses

Must be 21 years or over to participate. Reward paid in site credit. Offer valid for new players only. Full terms available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5 on Any MLB Game, Get $200 if Your Team Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $200 in free bets + any cash winnings from your original wager

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,500

Get up to $1,500 Risk-Free First Bet!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

PointsBet

$100

Bet $100 Risk-Free on every NBA Finals Game

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Each NBA Finals game, your first Fixed Odds bet on the game will be Risk-Free up to $100

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.