F1 Dutch Grand Prix Predictions, Best Bets and Picks: Max Verstappen remains on top

BAHRAIN - Max Verstappen (Red Bull Racing) during the second day of testing at the Bahrain International Circuit ahead of the start of the Formula 1 season. ANP SEM VAN DER WAL /ANP/Sipa USA
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F1 is back from the Summer Break and the second half of the season opens with the Dutch Grand Prix. One of the best races on the schedule takes place at Zandvoort in the Netherlands. From the tight circuit, the elevation change, the atmosphere, oh yeah…and the banked corner, Zandvoort is a great track. That’s all well and good but what are these cars going to do on it when it comes to racing? Are we just locking in Max Verstappen and forgetting about it? How are we approaching the Daniel Ricciardo-Liam Lawson substitution? All of this is shaping up to be an exciting Dutch Grand Prix and Zandvoort.

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Zandvoort Circuit Layout

The tight, twisting layout of Zandvoort is one of the more unique on the F1 schedule. It’s 2.6-mile length is made up of 14 turns, 10 to the right and four to the left, and one main straight. That straight is the main DRS zone and is the best passing chance on the track. What else makes it unique? It’s build on sand dunes and on the coast of the North Sea in an arena or stadium like atmosphere. The sand dunes not only provide the undulations on the track but it can also make the track dusty and slicker when the breeze kicks up. In general, it would be most comparable to the Hungaroring and the Red Bull Ring in terms of how hard it is to pass and the setups of the cars. 

Betting Strategy For Dutch Grand Prix

At this point in the season we know who the good cars are and who the drivers we can count on are. One of them this week is out — Daniel Ricciardo. He broke his wrist in FP2 and is being filled in for by Liam Lawson. This track is one where qualifying typically matters quite a bit as it can be tough to pass without safety cars or pit strategy coming into play. That being said, the odds reflect that. So bet with that in mind, as well as knowing it’s likely a race for second behind Verstappen at this point. The battles will be in the midfield much of the day as constructors battle it out to move up the constructors championship for the coveted funds attached to those finishing spots. So, much of the interest in betting this weekend is on props and how different constructors will perform.

F1 Dutch Grand Prix Winner Best Bets

Max Verstappen (-525 at DraftKings)

To be honest, the odds aren’t sexy. The return isn’t great, but that’s the point. That’s how good he’s been that even with these odds we’re still looking at him. He’s dominating and there’s no sign of stopping or slowing down. In fact, he’s on pole this weekend, in a car he complained about, by a half-second. It’s shaping up to be another Sunday drive for Verstappen.

Lando Norris (+800 at DraftKings)

In Q3, Norris had a first sector that was faster, by a good margin, than Verstappen and then it got wonky in the mid sector. If he can clean that up, there’s reason to think he can be a threat to Verstappen. We’ve seen the updated McLaren’s be very fast in tight corner tracks like Zandvoort and others. He will need help to pull off the win but these odds represent that.

George Russell (+1100 at DraftKings)

He’s starting P3 and has been in the top-3 at practice much of the weekend. We’ve seen the Silver Arrows be racy on high-downforce tracks like Zandvoort. If he gets a good jump and gives the Mercedes strategists something to work with early in the race, he could be a threat. It only gets better if Verstappen has an issue heading into Turn 1 on the jump.

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F1 Dutch Grand Prix Prop Best Bets

Sergio Perez Podium Finish (+140 at DraftKings)

He’s starting off the podium but he’s more than capable of moving up at a track like this. We’ve seen Red Bull strategize their way through a race to improve standings and that should happen again on Sunday. Let’s also not forget that Red Bull is squarely putting pressure on Checo to post his best results to save his seat.

Alex Albon Podium Finish (+750 at DraftKings)

Albon is starting P3 in the grid on a track where it can be tough to pass. He’s also got a fast car this week, as both Williams made Q3 for the first time in a while. With these quick, tight tracks, the Williams has been impressive much of the year and these odds are pretty good for a guy who just has to hold his spot.

18 Classified Finishers (+250 at DraftKings)

The initial start to the race and heading into the Turn 1 hairpin can be dicey. That’s likely where most of the issues will occur. We already saw a few cars have issues in qualifying that needed repairs which could also cause problems in the race. We’ve seen an historic pace of finishing in 2023 but this weekend is one that could bring a couple of DNFs into the picture at good odds to boot.

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