F1 Monaco Grand Prix betting preview: Charles Leclerc breaks hometown curse

Monaco Grand Prix Betting Tips
Photo of Matt Selz

Matt Selz

F1 · 1 month ago

Show Bio

NASCAR handicapper for Pickswise, looking to give you winners throughout the season!

The Monaco Grand Prix is perhaps the most famous race in the world and it happens Sunday. It is one of the original street circuit on the F1 schedule and it’s still holding out as a legacy circuit today. After missing Memorial Day weekend last year — its traditional spot — it’s back as part of the best day of racing for this year.

Monaco GP Betting Strategy

This has long been known as one of, if not, the most challenging circuits on the schedule. It’s tight and a very turn-heavy layout. There are 19 corners around the famed 2.07-mile layout that winds through the streets of Monaco. While the history and iconographical nature of the track are all good. What is it like to bet this race? Well, passing in next to impossible here. Winning from the pole has been nearly guaranteed in recent years, assuming the car holds up. So with that said, get in your bets before qualifying happens if you really want the best return on your investment. This is also a track where the skill of the driver can make a world of difference over the course of the race and with getting more out of the car than should be possible. With that in mind, it’s worth looking at talented drivers in middling teams cars for some prop bets on finishes.

All odds taken from DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Outright Winners For Monaco

Charles Leclerc -140

Monaco is his hometown. He literally group up in the principality. The Monegasque driver led both practice sessions of the weekend so far. He also had the race last weekend in hand, easily, before the engine quit. If the reliability issues that have plagued him take a break for the weekend, he should be on the top spot on the podium without much concern.

Sergio Perez +1800

Perez had a bone to pick with his team last weekend because of the team order given to let Verstappen pass him. This weekend, he’s gone out and shown that he’s once again faster than his teammate. Perez has been the closest competitor to Leclerc much of the weekend and with Verstappen struggling through more of the tight corners than Perez, it could be Checo’s Sunday to shine.

George Russell +2500

We need a “long shot” this weekend right? Given the madness that’s unfolded each week so far in the prior six rounds of the season. Russell was able to capitalize on that last weekend at the Spanish GP before getting out maneuvered. Mercedes isn’t looking as strong this weekend but they’re still a top-three team and if chaos ensues again, it could be Russell that benefits.

Monaco Grand Prix Best Prop Bets

Pierre Gasly Top-6 Finish (+115)

Getting plus money on a prop in which the driver averages a top-six finish here? Thank you! He’s finished P7, P5, P6 in his prior three Monaco GPs and ran P6 in both FP1 and FP2 this weekend. This is his self-stated favorite track and the results have shown that. P6 would be his best finish of this year, but he pulled off that feat 9 times last year, including at Monaco.

Sebastian Vettel Top-10 Finish (-105)

It’s been a rough start to the year for Vettel. From missing the first two races with Covid to a bad Aussie weekend and then a rough Miami GP. It’s been tough. This weekend though, it’s tough to look past a driver that’s finished top-10 11 times in 15 races here including two wins and five more runners-up. He was inside the top-10 on the speed charts for FP1 and FP2 on Friday with the Aston Martin continuing to pick up speed in 2022.

First To Retire: Guanyu Zhou (+850)

It’s not nice to kick a guy when he’s down but we’re going to do that here. Coming into Monaco, Guanyu has retired from the prior two races and missed part of FP2 fixing an issue. There are others with enticing odds; like Daniel Ricciardo at +1800 who wrecked in FP2 and hasn’t been conformable. Or Carlos Sainz who’s retired twice this year and is making too many forced errors. However, those two drivers are also in better equipment and have more experience on this circuit. 

Sergio Perez Podium Finish (+160)

We mentioned above that Perez has been faster than his teammate much of the last two weekends. We’ve also mentioned that each of the Ferrari drivers have had their share of issues this year with their equipment. If Perez keeps the car clean, shows the top-three speed he’s had in practice, Perez has a shot at the podium.

Our expert Formula One handicappers provide race analysis, betting advice and F1 Predictions and F1 Picks on every race. Check out our latest Formula One Picks today!

Virginia Bonuses

See All
PointsBet

$500

Get 5x $100 Risk-Free Bets!

Sign up for a new PointsBet account

Make a bet of up to $100 and receive a refund if you lose

Get this offer once a day for the first 5 days you sign up

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

DraftKings

$200

Bet $5 on Any MLB Game, Get $200 if Your Team Wins!

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any MLB team to win their next game

Win $200 in free bets + any cash winnings from your original wager

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim Instant Deposit Match up to $100 + Free $5 game

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

DraftKings

$100

Bet $5 on any UFC 276 fight, Get $100 instantly

Sign up for a new account with DraftKings Sportsbook and make your first deposit

Bet $5 on any UFC 276 fight

Win $100 in free bets + any cash winnings from your original wager

Offer valid for new players only. Must be 21 years or older to play. Reward paid in site credit. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

PointsBet

$2,000

Get $2,000 in Risk-Free Bets!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit

Receive a free bet refund up to $500 if your first fixed odds bet loses

& a free bet refund up to $1,500 if your first two PointsBetting Wager loses

Must be 21+. Full terms are available at PointsBet.

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,500

Get up to $1,500 Risk-Free First Bet!

Sign up for a new Caesars Sportsbook account

Make your first deposit of $50+

If your first bet is not a winner, get it all back as a free bet (up to $1,100) if you lose!

21+. Terms and conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

Yahoo DFS

$25

Get $25 in Site Credit With Yahoo DFS When You Deposit $5!

Register for a new account with Yahoo DFS and deposit $5+

Enter a $5 DFS contest

Upon entry, you will receive a bonus $25 in credit into your account!

21+ and new players only. Full terms available from Yahoo DFS.

TVG

$200

Get Your First Single-Horse Win Wager Back Up to $200 if you don't win

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $200

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$200

Get a $200 Sign-Up Bonus with Twinspires Racebook!

Open your TwinSpires.com account using offer code BET200

$200 bonus cash will be credited in increments of $100 for every $400 wagered

To earn the full $200 bonus players must wager $800 within 30 days

21+. Terms and conditions apply.