Joe Champion
Scottie Scheffler completed a hat-trick at the Memorial Tournament last week, dominating at Muirfield Village. He’ll head to next week’s US Open at Oakmont as the firm favorite for the year’s 3rd Major. The world #1 skips this week’s PGA Tour event, the Canadian Open, but there’s still a heavy betting favorite to consider with Rory McIlroy returning to action.
The last 3 editions of the Canadian Open have been held at different courses, but this year’s tournament — and the 2026 edition — will take place at TPC Toronto’s North Course. A new venue for the PGA Tour, TPC Toronto measures 7,389 yards — long for a par 70. The wide fairways will reward big hitters, so expect powerhouses who putt well to shine this week.
McIlroy has twice won the Canadian Open, in 2019 and 2022, but he hasn’t been at his best since winning the Masters. He’s also been in the headlines recently for using a non-conforming driver and refusing to speak to the media at the US PGA Championship. The field this week isn’t particularly strong – Ludvig Aberg is the only other top-10 player competing – but McIlroy’s main focus will likely be fine-tuning his game for the US Open. Let’s dive into my golf predictions for the Canadian Open this week.
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Canadian Open golf picks and predictions
Canadian Open best bet: Taylor Pendrith (+3500)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Rory McIlroy’s main focus for this week will likely be on fine-tuning his game ahead of next week’s OS Open, but one man who certainly won’t lack motivation is Canada’s Taylor Pendrith, who knows this course better than most. A regular PGA Tour contender, Pendrith was 5th at the PGA Championship, then ranked first in strokes-gained approach when he placed 12th at the Memorial Tournament. If he can improve on last week’s putting performance, he’ll have a real chance to lift his home Open on Sunday.
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Canadian Open prediction: Sam Burns (+3300)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Sam Burns doesn’t need to worry about his putting — he leads the PGA Tour putting statistics this year. His ball-striking has held him back at times, but having finished 5th, 30th, 19th, and 12th in his last 4 events, he looks to be heading in the right direction.
Canadian Open pick: Davis Riley (+7500)
Odds available at bet365 at time of publishing.
Davis Riley’s inconsistency was on display when he missed the Charles Schwab Challenge cut a week after finishing runner-up at the PGA Championship. However, he remains a talented player with a solid blend of power and short-game prowess.
Canadian Open longshot pick: Matti Schmid (+9000)
Odds available at bet365 at time of publishing.
Matti Schmid missed a golden opportunity to win the Charles Schwab Challenge a fortnight ago, losing to Ben Griffin after shooting a final-round 72. That experience should prove a learning curve for the German, who has form figures of 9-MC-7-2 from his last 4 events.
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