Golf picks: Charles Schwab Challenge predictions & best bets from expert Ian Wilkerson

Daniel Berger hits a shot at the Charles Schwab Challenge.
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Ian Wilkerson

Golf

Journalist since 1994, having previously working at BBC Sport before joining the Racing Post in 2006. A specialist in football and golf betting. A keen runner who presents the top-10 weekly running podcast, The Long Run. For Ian Wilkerson media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
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World number one Scottie Scheffler added the US PGA Championship to his extensive trophy collection on Sunday with a 5-shot win at Quail Hollow and he’ll be back for more glory at this week’s Charles Schwab Challenge, where he was 2nd in his home state of Texas 12 months ago. Scheffler’s Quail Hollow success came a fortnight after he stormed to an 8-shot victory at the CJ Cup and it is consequently no surprise to see him such low odds for another win. However, this should not be a one-man procession and one player who has already won at Colonial Country Club, a traditional venue that first staged a PGA Tour event in 1946, could get back into the winner’s circle after a desperate battle with injury. Let’s dive into my golf predictions for the Charles Schwab Challenge this week.

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Charles Schwab Challenge golf picks and predictions

Charles Schwab Challenge best bet: Daniel Berger (+2500)

Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Daniel Berger won this tournament in 2020 but had 18 months out of action with back problems. However, he is enjoying his second year back in the game and a victory here would be the cherry on top of the cake. Berger has come close a few times recently, finishing 2nd at the Phoenix Open and 3rd at last month’s RBC Heritage, and while he was 33rd at Quail Hollow, his final round of 68 was beaten by only 3 players. The memories of his playoff victory over Collin Morikawa 5 years ago could be a great motivation and this could be the week his comeback is completed.

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Charles Schwab Challenge prediction: Jordan Spieth (+2400)

Odds available at bet365 at time of publishing.

While Scheffler will have plenty of local support, the Lone Star galleries will also be out in full force for Jordan Spieth on a course where long drivers don’t tend to be rewarded but accurate course management can be a telling factor. Spieth has not won in more than 3 years, but there have been encouraging signs besides the fact his best friend Justin Thomas ended a similarly long barren spell at the Heritage. The 3-time Major winner had 6 top-20 finishes in 10 events before Quail Hollow, and while he missed the cut at the 2nd Major of the year, his 2nd round of 68 almost got him over the line. He won this tournament in 2016 and has had 3 other runner-up finishes, so the familiar environment could help him find his best form.

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Charles Schwab Challenge longshot pick: Davis Riley (+5000)

Odds generally available at time of publishing.

Defending champion Davis Riley is also worth an interest after he stormed to a 5-shot win last year as a huge +35000 outsider. He was the first maiden winner in 23 tournaments at Colonial, but he will have been encouraged by his 2nd-place finish at Quail Hollow. He would have given Scheffler a better run for his money had it not been for a triple-bogey 8 on the 7th and he was 4th on his Colonial debut 2 years before his victory.

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