In the absence for world #1 Scottie Scheffler, who won The American Express last week at incredibly short odds, it is Xander Schauffele and Ludvig Aberg who are disputing favoritism at this week’s Farmers Insurance Open – but it could be a South Korean who is celebrating victory at the 3rd PGA Tour tournament of 2026 on Sunday afternoon. Let’s break down our golf predictions for the Farmers Insurance Open this week.
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Farmers Insurance Open golf picks and predictions
Farmers Insurance Open best bet: Si Woo Kim (+2600)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Si Woo Kim has a best finish of 11th at the Farmers in 2022, when he was 3 shots behind winner Luke List, and he missed the cut 12 months ago, but it is hard to ignore that his game is in superb shape. Kim finished 2025 strongly with 4th place at the final PGA gathering at the RSM Classic, was then 3rd at the Australian Open, and he has flown out of the blocks after Christmas.
An 11th place at the Sony Open in Hawaii and 6th last week were impressive, but it was the quality of his approach play that stood out and it could be key in a tournament where 7 of the last 8 winners have finished in the top 5 of the strokes-gained: approach statistic – last year’s winner Harris English was 4th on that metric. Kim was ranked 11th in that stat last week and 3rd in Hawaii, and the fact he has finished in the top 20 in his last 9 outings suggests a strong showing is likely.
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Farmers Insurance Open prediction: Ryan Gerard (+4300)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Ryan Gerard is another player who has had a great start to the year. His runner-up finish at the American Express was his 3rd in a row. The American, who won the Barracuda Championship in July, is up to 24th in the world rankings and was a creditable 15th last year, so expect a bold bid for the player who was 4th in strokes gained: approach in Hawaii.
Farmers Insurance Open longshot pick: Nicolai Hojgaard (+5700)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Nicolai Hojgaard’s claims should not be ignored, either. The Dane was runner-up to Matthieu Pavon on his only course appearance and he bounced back from 52nd at the Dubai Invitational to finish 4th at the Dubai Desert Classic last week. He was 11th in strokes gained: approach at the end of 2025 and could make his presence felt.
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