Joe Champion
The penultimate Signature Event of the PGA Tour season headlines this week’s action as 8 of the world’s top 10 players gather at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio, for the Memorial Tournament. Rory McIlroy is the most notable absentee in the field for the Memorial, which once again means that Scottie Scheffler dominates the betting as he seeks to defend the title he won 12 months ago.
Affectionately known as Jack’s Place, Muirfield Village is a 7,569-yard, par-72 Jack Nicklaus design, which ranks among the toughest tests on the PGA Tour each season. While the fairways are wide, small, well-guarded greens demand accurate approaches. The route to success is usually high-quality iron shots and scrambling when greens are missed. Scheffler, 1st in strokes-gained approach and 2nd in scrambling on the PGA Tour this season, fits the bill better than anyone, but it could pay to take a chance on others at bigger odds. Let’s dive into my golf predictions for the Memorial Tournament this week.
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Memorial Tournament golf picks and predictions
Memorial Tournament best bet: Sepp Straka (+4500)
Odds available at bet365 at time of publishing.
Among the players who could cause Scheffler problems this week is Sepp Straka, who won the American Express at the start of this season before claiming his first Signature title at the Truist Championship 3 weeks ago. The Austrian, now certain to be part of Europe’s Ryder Cup team in September, is 2nd only to Scheffler in SG approach this season. He has been in sparkling form with his irons all year.
Only Scheffler and McIlroy are ahead of Straka in the FedEx Cup standings, too, and he will be keen to finish as high as possible in the standings to give himself a shot at taking home the FedEx Cup bonus at East Lake in August. Straka has needed time to figure out Muirfield Village, but 16th and 5th-place finishes in the last 2 Memorials underline his growing confidence at the venue.
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Memorial Tournament prediction: Shane Lowry (+4500)
Odds available at bet365 at time of publishing.
Shane Lowry should bounced back from missing the cut at the PGA Championship, having posted 4 top-10 finishes from his last 8 PGA Tour events, excluding Majors and the Zurich Classic team event. Lowry, 6th at the 2021 Memorial, is striking his irons at an elite level and his ability around the greens is up there with the very best.
Memorial Tournament pick: Si Woo Kim (+4000)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook and DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Si Woo Kim catches the eye this week with form figures of 18-9-13-4-15 from the last 5 editions of this event. He was 8th at both the Heritage and the PGA Championship, and solid again when 28th at Colonial last week.
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Memorial Tournament longshot pick: Matt Fitzpatrick (+6500)
Odds available at bet365 at time of publishing.
This could be the week when Matt Fitzpatrick puts it all together after a struggling period. He has been edging back to form since splitting with caddie Billy Foster, finishing 23rd at the Truist and 8th at the PGA Championship, where he struck his irons superbly. He was 3rd at the 2020 Memorial, 9th in 2023 and 5th last year.
