Caleb Wilfinger
Week 7 of the NFL season will conclude with a showdown between the Houston Texans and Seattle Seahawks in what should be a fun game on Monday Night Football. This is one of the better contests of the weekend, and there are plenty of opportunities to make some money on the game, so let’s try to take advantage with our Texans vs Seahawks Same Game Parlay picks for Monday, which gets underway at 10:15 pm ET on ESPN. Make sure you also keep an eye on our NFL picks for every game this season.
Seahawks -3 (-110)
Under 41.5 (-115)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba under 88.5 receiving yards (-110)
Texans vs Seahawks Same Game Parlay odds: +480
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Seattle Seahawks -3 over Houston Texans (-110)
While the Seahawks have already outperformed expectations to this point, the market is still underrating Seattle at this point in the season. After all, the Seahawks are a top 5 unit in offense, defense and special teams per DVOA, which is about as complete of a team as we have in the NFL at the moment. Mike Macdonald continues to be an excellent defensive coach and the Seahawks defense should pin down a Texans offense that has struggled mightily all season long, particularly through the air. On the other side of the ball, Sam Darnold has been a very pleasant surprise to this point and the Seahawks passing offense has been successful against a variety of defenses this season. Ultimately, I’ll lay the points with the hosts on Monday.
Read our full Texans vs Seahawks predictions for Monday Night Football
Under 41.5 (-115)
Regardless of which team comes out on top in this game, the under is our recommended side in this contest while it’s still over the key number of 41. The visitors have found their mojo back a bit on offense, but it’s worth mentioning that those performances came against the very depleted Ravens defense and the lowly Tennessee Titans. As for Seattle, Darnold and company have been rolling, but this will be their toughest matchup to date considering the excellence of Houston’s defense against the pass (2nd in EPA per pass) and the fact that both teams haven’t been able to run the ball all that well. This should be a game that finishes in the upper 30s, so we’ll grab this number and add it to our SGP.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba under 88.5 receiving yards (-110)
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has been playing like one of the best receivers in football this season, so fading him in this spot is a bit terrifying. However, I expect his production in this matchup to take a bit of dip against a Houston secondary that has been very strong all year long. The Texans are a top 5 unit in success rate allowed and more importantly, currently sit at 2nd in the nation in EPA per pass and 3rd in passing yards allowed. With that in mind, Smith-Njigba can certainly go under his receiving yards prop while Seattle still prevails on the scoreboard. As long as the Ohio State product doesn’t haul in multiple deep passes, this leg should add some value to our SGP.
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