The Big Ten once again kicks off a huge Saturday in college football, as the Indiana Hoosiers and Penn State Nittany Lions are set for a high-noon shootout. At the beginning of the season this matchup was expected to have conference-title ramifications for both teams, but that isn’t the case due to Penn State’s woes. The Nittany Lions come in with a 3-5 record, whereas the Hoosiers are ranked #2 in the nation at 9-0.
Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which get underway at 12:00 pm ET on FOX. Also be sure to check out our full Indiana vs Penn State predictions.
Penn State +14.5 (-115)
Under 50.5 (-110)
Kaytron Allen Over 68.5 rushing yards (-114)
Parlay odds: +402
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as Penn State running back Kaytron Allen rushing for his fair share of yards would obviously work well with a Nittany Lions cover. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with also backing the under. But even if Allen fares well, there is no reason why this contest can’t be relatively low scoring. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
Penn State +14.5 (-115)
Indiana has absolutely crushed almost all of its opponents this season, with Iowa being the only exception. That’s why the Hoosiers are giving 14.5 points. And I’m taking ‘em. It is true that this is a lost season for the Nittany Lions, but they did well to hang around with Ohio State for more than a half during their last appearance. Two touchdowns are a lot at home.
Under 50.5 (-110)
This play correlates nicely with the side. After all, Penn State probably can’t keep up in a shootout – but it is a lot more likely to cover in a defensive slog. For the underdogs, their backup quarterback situation has been a limiting factor, Nicholas Singleton hasn’t delivered the breakout campaign many expected and the offensive rhythm just hasn’t materialized. They are going to slow the ball down and limit possessions – a sensible strategy for any signifcant underdog. As good as Indiana’s offense is, Penn State’s defense is no slouch.
Kaytron Allen Over 68.5 rushing yards (-114)
Allen has been one of the few bright spots for PSU in 2025. He has rushed for 688 yards on 5.8 yards per carry and has scored 10 touchdowns. The senior has gained at least 76 yards in 3 consecutive contests and has surpassed this 68.5 quota on 2 other occasions this season. Indiana’s defense is stout, but Allen does not have to go crazy to exceed this number. As mentioned above, Penn State is likely to keep the ball on the ground – resulting in plenty of carries for Allen. He has already toted the rock 16, 28 and 21 times in the last 3 games.
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