Friday’s college football slate lacks much excitement, but an interesting Big Ten matchup between Iowa and Rutgers headlines the night. The battle between the Hawkeyes and the Scarlet Knights kicks off at 8:00 pm ET on FOX, and I’ve put together a 2-leg Iowa vs Rutgers Same Game Parlay for this one with handsome odds of +455. Let’s get right into the SGP picks, and don’t forget to check out the rest of our CFB predictions for the Week 4 slate, with over 30 games covered on Saturday!
Rutgers ML (+105)
KJ Duff (RUT) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)
Iowa vs Rutgers Same Game Parlay odds: +415
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
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Rutgers Scarlet Knights ML over Iowa Hawkeyes (+105)
There’s no doubt Iowa has the edge defensively in this matchup, as the Hawkeyes are top 50 in multiple advanced metrics on that side of the ball while the Scarlet Knights are outside the top 100 in key metrics like yards per play allowed, PPA per rush and havoc generated. However, Rutgers has the clear edge on the offensive side of the ball, namely at the quarterback position with Athan Kaliakmanis – who already has 820 yards and 7 touchdowns with 0 interceptions or turnover-worthy plays – and with its wide receiver group.
Playing his 4th season of football in the Big Ten, Kaliakmanis is no stranger to Iowa’s defense. He played against the Hawkeyes twice while at Minnesota – winning one and losing one – but the difference now is that his pass-catchers are much better than what he had at his disposal as a Golden Gopher. Moreover, Iowa’s pass defense is softer this season than it was then. In fact, the Hawkeyes are outside the top 70 in PFF’s coverage grade thus far, and are a bit undersized in the secondary. Look for Kaliakmanis to exploit those weaknesses.
When both teams are playing on short rest, I always gravitate to the home team, and that’s not going to change here. Even with a banged-up line, the Scarlet Knights have a much higher ceiling offensively in this matchup, and while their defense is a concern, Iowa isn’t necessarily going to exploit that (104th yards per play). In fact, I’m banking on Mark Gronowski struggling in his first Big Ten game and first game outside the state of Iowa. Give me the home ‘dog as the first leg of our Iowa vs Rutgers Same Game Parlay.
Read our full Iowa vs Rutgers prediction for tonight’s matchup
KJ Duff (RUT) Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+200)
Dare I say Rutgers has a 3-headed monster at the wide receiver position with Ian Strong, KJ Duff and DT Sheffield? While it may seem like you’re flipping a coin when predicting who is going to score week-to-week, Strong is the one who Kaliakmanis trusts most. However, Strong didn’t play last week due to an undisclosed injury, and while he’s trying to return to the field for the Iowa game, the short week doesn’t exactly help that cause.
Duff is another guy that Kaliakmanis trusts. Duff was top 3 in targets last year for the Scarlet Knights, and currently leads the team in targets and receptions due to Strong’s absence last week. Moreover, Duff has accumulated 4 contested targets, bringing 3 of them in for catches. Standing at 6’6″, he has a massive size advantage over the Iowa secondary and should find the end zone for the 3rd time this year. If Strong ends up missing this game, the number on Duff will likely shrink.
Now find out college football expert Caleb Wilfinger’s Friday CFB best bet, targeting Tulsa vs Oklahoma State
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