Ricky Dimon
Week 5 of the 2025 NFL season wraps up with Monday Night Football between the Kansas City Chiefs and Jacksonville Jaguars. Kansas City is a disappointing 2-2, but it has some momentum after beating Baltimore in Week 4. Jacksonville is riding a 2-game winning streak that has the home side at 3-1. Let’s break down our Chiefs vs Jaguars Same Game Parlay picks at +1100 odds for this huge AFC matchup, which gets underway at 8:15 pm ET on ABC. Also, be sure to check out our full Chiefs vs Jaguars predictions as our experts look to improve on their 86-67-1 record this season for +33 units!
Over 45.5 (-112)
Travis Kelce anytime touchdown scorer (+180)
Travis Etienne Jr. to record 80+ rushing yards (+198)
Chiefs vs Jaguars Same Game Parlay odds: +1000
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is the entire plan here, as Kansas City tight end Travis Kelce scoring a touchdown and Jacksonville running back Travis Etienne Jr. racking up his fair share of yards would both obviously work well with the Over. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
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Over 45.5 (-112)
Kansas City’s offense finally looked like its real self last week. Sure, it was against a Ravens team that has completely imploded in 2025, but it’s still something. The Chiefs are averaging more than 24 points per game after blasting Baltimore 37-20, a game that saw Patrick Mahomes complete 25 of 37 passes for 270 yards and 4 touchdowns. They did not turn the ball over a single time.
The Jaguars have put at least 26 points on the board in 3 of their 4 contests. Etienne has been productive and Trevor Lawrence is coming off his first interception-free performance of the season. That will be the key on Monday – Lawrence can’t make mistakes. It’s also worth noting that Jacksonville’s offense has been productive even though Brian Thomas Jr. has done absolutely nothing through 4 weeks. You can’t think BTJ’s lack of production will continue much longer.
Check out Prop Holliday’s best Chiefs vs Jaguars player prop bets, including a play at +750 odds!
Travis Kelce anytime touchdown scorer (+180)
Although the 2025 campaign has been nothing special for Kelce, stories of his demise have been greatly exaggerated. The 36-year-old remains productive, with 15 receptions on 22 targets for 181 yards and 1 touchdown. Kelce has been targeted 18 times in the last 3 games and caught all 5 of his targets in Kansas City’s win over Baltimore. The Cincinnati product has not scored since the season opener, but that could change on MNF. Jacksonville has surrendered 7 touchdowns through the air compared to just 1 on the ground.
Lock in JutPicks’ Chiefs vs Jaguars touchdown scorer best bets, including a play at +380 odds!
Travis Etienne Jr. to record 80+ rushing yards (+198)
As the underdogs and with the Chiefs’ offense apparently back in business, the Jaguars would be wise to keep the ball on the ground and keep the clock moving. I expect a lot of carries for Etienne, who has rushed 65 times for 394 yards and 2 touchdowns so far this season. The former Clemson standout has not gained fewer than 56 yards in any outing and he twice rushed for at least 124 yards. Etienne is simply on a roll, and it’s hard to see Kansas City being the team to slow him down.
Head coach Andy Reid’s defense has been stellar against the pass (7th in the NFL at 185.8 yards per game allowed), but it is 22nd against the run – giving up 127.0 yards per contest on 4.9 yards per attempt. This is a good spot for Etienne.
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