Ricky Dimon
The week in Major League Baseball continues with a full 15-game schedule on Saturday. I’m on an absolute heater in the early stages of the season, with a 23-12-1 record so far in this best bets piece while going 3-for-5 on Same Game Parlays at +481, +632 and +439 odds and 5-1 on YRFI/NRFI picks. Pickswise’s MLB handicapping team on the whole is 38-18-2 on their best bets. Let’s keep it going as we get into my MLB best bets of the day!
Also don’t forget to check out our MLB picks for Saturday’s slate.
MLB best bet: Cleveland Guardians F5 +0.5 over Philadelphia Phillies (-115)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing
The Guardians dominated the series opener 6-0 on Friday, giving them a 3-game winning streak and a 5-1 record in their last 6 overall. They are 12-5 at home this season, while the Phillies are 9-10 on the road. Saturday’s matchup should position Cleveland well to pocket another home win while handing Philadelphia another road loss. Tanner Bibee is going for the Guardians. He is 3-2 on the season and they have won 4 of his last 5 starts. The right-hander has allowed no more than 2 earned runs in 3 of his last 4 appearances.
The Phillies are sending Ranger Suarez to the bump; Suarez missed the first month of the season due to a back injury. To say that his 2025 debut was disappointing would be an understatement. The left-hander gave up 7 runs on 7 hits and 2 walks in 3.2 innings during a loss to Arizona last weekend. Asking Cleveland simply to be tied through 5 innings should not be too much.
Read our full Phillies vs Guardians prediction
MLB best bet: New York Mets ML over Chicago Cubs (-150)
Odds available at Bet365 Sportsbook at time of publishing
The Mets are 25-14 – good for the best record in the loaded NL East – following Friday’s 7-2 victory over the Cubs. A recent 3-3 road trip was underwhelming, but a return home should be just what the doctor ordered for New York. This club is 14-3 at Citi Field compared to 11-11 on the road.
The Cubs also lead their division, but they have lost 3 straight heading into Saturday. Their bats have suddenly cooled off, with just 8 runs scored over the last 3 contests in addition to a shutout loss at Milwaukee last weekend. Today’s pitching matchup also favors the Mets. Tylor Megill is taking the mound and he is 3-2 with a 2.50 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 45 strikeouts in 36.0 innings of work so far this year. The Cubs are countering with a bullpen day that will be opened by Brad Keller (0-0, 3.78 ERA). That doesn’t bode well for a squad that is in the bottom 10 of bullpen ERA league wide. New York has great value on the money line.
Read our full Cubs vs Mets prediction
