Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
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We have two teams in the Final Four: FAU and UConn. We’re just waiting on the outcome of Creighton (-2.5) vs San Diego State and Miami (+3.5) vs Texas. This tournament has been one of the best in recent memory and player prop wise, we are 7-3 (+3.15U) over the last week! I plan on finishing strong today before we come back for the Final Four. Let’s take a look at my favorite player props for tonight, but don’t forget to check out all of our college basketball picks.
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Baylor Scheierman (CRE) over 22.5 PRA (-125)
Line available on DraftKings sportsbook at the time of publishing.
This is strictly a numbers play for me and goes against everything my gut says about this game. Scheierman is playing a healthy 37 MPG over the last two games and averaged 24 PRA on the season. Scheierman has hit this in 23/36 (63%) games on the year and we can’t pass up value this good, regardless of the opponent. When it comes to these college player props, I stick to guys that do not leave the floor, and Scheierman is one of them. For today’s play, we need to see him play 33+ minutes to have this line hit, which luckily, he’s done in 50% of games and 3 of the L5 dating back to the conference tournament. 0.5U
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Check out our Creighton vs San Diego State predictions
Jordan Miller (MIA) over 14.5 points (-102)
Line available on FanDuel sportsbook at the time of publishing.
We are getting this line right at his season average of 15 PPG and the added benefit of Miller seeing a minute’s boost in March (+2 minutes). When Miller sees 37 minutes in a game, he hits this line in 9/12 (75%) games. While Texas defensively is a stalwart, they do a bad job in the foul category. The Longhorns rank #228 in FTA/FGA% and #133 in Opp FGA per game. In games where Miller gets 5+ FTA, he this this line in 5/7 (71%) games. 0.5U
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