Josh Gayle
We’ve arrived at Week 4 of the 2025 NFL season and we already have a ton of talking points. Looking ahead to Sunday, we have the Vikings and Steelers locking horns in Dublin for the first time ever, while we an unlikely battle of 1-2 teams takes place at Arrowhead between the Ravens and Chiefs. Our NFL player props experts have started the season 14-8, and I’m looking to improve that record even further with my 2 best NFL player prop bets for Sunday. Let’s break them down, while you can also find out our NFL picks for EVERY GAME in Week 4, with our experts currently boasting a 56-41-1 record so far this season.
Best NFL player prop bet: Ka’imi Fairbairn (HOU) over 1.5 field goals made (-110)
Odds available at BetMGM at time of publishing.
This one is pretty straightforward. Tennessee has allowed 2+ field goals to every kicker they have faced this season. Houston is 0-3 and motivated to finally get one in the win column. Despite that, I don’t fully trust CJ Stroud and that offense in red-zone situations. Houston is favored by 7 but the total for this game is an astoundingly low 38.5. I feel like that low total implies that we will see some drives fall short on Houston’s end despite a great defensive performance.
Ka’imi Fairbairn has attempted 2+ field goals in every game this season and is 2-1 in hitting the prop. This game is played in a dome so there’s no concern about wind or weather conditions. This should be juiced much more than -110 in my opinion, so it looks to hold plenty of value.
Best NFL player prop bet: Jalen Tolbert (DAL) over 2.5 receptions (-121)
Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.
This is too good to pass up. Dallas is going to have to fill the massive void of losing CeeDee Lamb to injury. My guess is that the public will be heavy on Kavontae Turpin because he had 2 explosive catches last week for 64 yards. Although I like Turpin this week as well, Jalen Tolbert may be the safer bet.
Tolbert saw a season-high 88% of snaps in Week 3. He quietly reeled in 3 balls and should be heavily utilized in a game where Dak Prescott is projected to throw 37+ times. Green Bay enter this game as touchdown favorites, which should force Dallas to throw the ball. Tolbert hit this prop in 8-0f-10 of Dallas’ losses last year. Green Bay should come out pissed that they blew their Week 3 lead against Cleveland and force Dallas into a passing script. I absolutely love Tolbert to bring in 3 balls for us.
Read our full Packers vs Cowboys prediction for Sunday Night Football
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