Week 11 of the NFL season is in the books and what a week it was. There was plenty of drama across the slate, including a pretty significant win for the Rams over the Seahawks for the biggest result of the week. While I was unable to cash in on my Week 11 mega parlay, I did cash back in Week 1 at +2512 odds! I have come within 1 or 2 legs of cashing these massive parlays in recent weeks, so let’s make it a second winner this week!
With the Week 12 Sunday slate on the horizon, let’s get right into my NFL Week 12 mega parlay that pays out at over 24/1 odds at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Lions -12.5 (-110)
Bengals +7.5 (-110)
Seahawks -12.5 (-122)
Cowboys ML (+145)
Chiefs ML (-185)
NFL Week 12 parlay odds: +2425
Detroit Lions -12.5 over New York Giants (-110)
On the surface, Detroit looks quite vulnerable following a pair of poor performances against the Vikings and Eagles in recent weeks. However, the Lions are now back home and have a favorable matchup at hand against a Giants team that is one of the worst teams in football and dealing with injuries at multiple key positions heading into this game. New York’s offense is already struggling and now the Giants will turn to Jameis Winston to lift up a unit that is 20th in EPA per play and 25th in success rate for the second straight week. On the other side, Detroit’s ground game should thrive against a leaky Giants defense that is dead last in both EPA per rush allowed and in explosive runs allowed. Let’s roll with the Lions to dominate at home.
Read our full Giants vs Lions predictions
Cincinnati Bengals +7.5 vs New England Patriots (-110)
While the Patriots have been one of the best teams in football to this point, New England has gotten a little fortunate with its schedule — as the Patriots have actually faced one of the worst schedules of opposing offenses to this point. That should change this week, as the Cincinnati Bengals are in position to play spoiler with an offense that certainly is capable of putting up points in bunches at home. The Bengals defense has been atrocious all season long, but given the fact that I expect this game to be a shootout, I won’t need many stops for Cincinnati to keep this one within the number.
Seattle Seahawks -12.5 over Tennessee Titans (-122)
The Seahawks are coming off an extremely frustrating loss to the Rams a week ago, in which Seattle outgained Los Angeles by nearly 200 yards and finished with nearly double the amount of first downs, only to still fall short thanks to 4 awful interceptions from Sam Darnold. Mike Macdonald’s team should be motivated to put a beating on one of the worst teams in football. It doesn’t help matters for Tennessee that the Titans are missing key pieces on both sides of the ball, including Jeffrey Simmons and Calvin Ridley. Seattle will pit its excellent defense (5th in EPA per play and success rate allowed, 2nd in EPA per rush) against a Titans offense that has been among the worst units in football all season long with rookie quarterback Cam Ward at the helm, and this one could get ugly in Nashville.
Don’t miss our full Seahawks vs Titans predictions
Dallas Cowboys ML over Philadelphia Eagles (+145)
For our next leg, we’ll target the Dallas Cowboys to pull off the outright upset as short underdogs against the Eagles. The Philadelphia offense has been a major issue all season long, as the Eagles have one of the worst passing offenses in football and clearly look out of sorts. The Cowboys defense has quietly been playing a bit better in recent weeks and as long as they don’t get completely overwhelmed on the ground by an Eagles offensive line that is without Lane Johnson, they should be able to keep Philadelphia’s offense in check. But this bet is really about the Cowboys offense, which has been absolutely humming all season long, especially at home. Look for Dak Prescott and company to win a higher-scoring affair on Sunday.
Don’t miss our full Eagles vs Cowboys predictions
Kansas City Chiefs ML over Indianapolis Colts (-185)
To close out our mega parlay, let’s take the Kansas City Chiefs on the money line to serve as an anchor leg. This is a game where the market is ignoring the records and just looking at at the pedigree of these teams, and I tend to agree. While the Chiefs have struggled in losses to the Bills and Broncos in recent weeks, those losses were on the road and against an elite quarterback (Josh Allen) and defense (Denver) in those games. Andy Reid and company are back at home and will face a much weaker defense this week, which makes Kansas City an intriguing bet in this one. I still don’t trust the Daniel Jones to succeed against a Kansas City defense that had to have been challenged this week by Steve Spagnuolo. Let’s roll with the Chiefs in a must-win spot.
Grab our expert’s best bets for NFL Week 12
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