Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley
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It feels like we had to endure a lot of terrible primetime games just to get the Buffalo Bills (+1) vs Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday Night Football in Week 9. Joe Burrow and Josh Allen square off with a total sitting at 50.5 points. We all remember last season’s matchup between the teams ended with the shocking collapse of Bills safety Damar Hamlin which led to the game being abandoned, followed by the teams’ playoff showdown which the Bengals won 27-10 in Buffalo. The Bills’ defense has been gashed with injuries of late while the Bengals are finally starting to find their rhythm after a rocky start.
You can read our NFL predictions for all the Week 9 games but now let’s look at my Bills vs Bengals Same Game Parlay.
Tee Higgins over 50.5 receiving yards (-115)
Line available at Bet365 Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Tee Higgins hasn’t quite been himself this season and I believe it’s largely due to the brutal schedule that Cincinnati has had to start the season, facing the Browns, Bengals and 49ers in 3 of his 6 games with an injury knocking him out of Week 4 and an inactive in Week 5. The theme for me this week is buying low and this is another prime example of that. Higgins is coming off 5 receptions and 69 yards against the 49ers and has made it past the trade deadline.
The Joe Mixon and Ja’Marr Chase lines are really tough to touch at this point, but getting Higgins at 50.5 when his career yards per reception is 13.9 feels like a steal. He has hit this mark in 28 of 49 games (57%) and the Bills secondary is in shambles. They brought in Rasul Douglas via a trade from GB and he might be thrown to the wolves right out of the gate. Higgins should be licking his chops to see Dane Jackson and Christian Benford in coverage. 1U
SGP: Josh Allen over 1.5 passing TDs + Dalton Kincaid 25+ receiving yards (+115)
Line available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing.
Can we go one Bills game without betting Dalton Kincaid? No. And why would we want to? Kincaid has hit this in 5 of his 7 games and without Dawson Knox in the lineup, I see no sign of him slowing down. The Bengals rank 29th in DVOA against tight ends and he’s a top 10 TE in the league going forward. As for Josh Allen, get your MVP tickets in now before he goes off against Cincinnati. He has hit this line in 5 straight games and I’ll be shocked if we do not see fireworks on Sunday night. 1U
Read Prop Holliday’s player prop picks and touchdown scorer best bets for Sunday’s games
