Picking every NFC North win total

Aaron Rodgers and Aaron Jones playing for Green Bay in the Divsional Round
Photo of Andrew Ortenberg

Andrew Ortenberg

NFL· 1 year ago

Show Bio

I'm an editor here at Pickswise who was raised in a household full of sports fanatics. Since I unfortunately never had LeBron James' jumping ability I wasn't able to make it to the NBA, and chose writing about sports as the next best thing. An avid sports bettor myself, I'm excited to get to write about the industry as it gets set to take off across the country. Buckle up.

The first win totals for the 2020 NFL season are out, providing us gamblers a desperately needed outlet. The NFC North profiles as one of the best divisions in football, and today we’ll be looking at the case for each team. For previous installments in this series where we go division by division, check out our ‘NFL News‘ tab.

Packers – O/U 9 wins

The Packers are expected to take a step back after winning the NFC North last year, and I understand why. They won a lot of close games and weren’t as good as their record suggested, but this still feels like an overreaction. They went 13-3 and were perfect in the division, and I don’t think they’re going to win that many fewer games. Aaron Rodgers has now had a full season to digest Matt LaFleur’s system, so if anything I think the offense and passing game will take a step forward. The defense was already great last year, giving up the fourth-fewest points in the NFC, and I think them finishing above .500 is a pretty safe bet.

The pick: Lean over.

Vikings – O/U 8.5 wins

This number also seems a bit low. The Vikings won ten games last year, and they arguably underachieved. They’ve got one of the league’s more talented rosters, and they showed that by beating the Saints on the road in the first round of the playoffs. Kirk Cousins looked a lot more comfortable this past season under the tutelage of Gary Kubiak, and that should only continue as he gets another year with Kubiak. Cousins easily had his best year as a pro in 2019, averaging 8.1 yards per attempt and only throwing six interceptions. This one I feel pretty good about.

The pick: Over.

Bears – O/U 7.5 wins

The Bears were the big disappointment in the NFC North last season, going 8-8 only a year after winning the division. Unfortunately for Chicago, I think things are going to get worse before they get better. It’s often said that if you have two quarterbacks you don’t have one, and that’s certainly the case with the Bears after they traded for Nick Foles. He’ll almost certainly end up starting over Mitchell Trubisky, but that isn’t saying much. Foles showed in Jacksonville last year that his Super Bowl run was a mirage. The defense took a step back once Vic Fangio left, and I don’t think they’re magically going to rebound to their old heights now. Signing a washed Jimmy Graham to a big contract this offseason shows that general manager Ryan Pace is still in over his head.

The pick: Lean under.

Lions – O/U 6.5 wins

This is a tough one. The Lions won only three games last season, but that’s because things spiraled out of control after Matthew Stafford went down with an injury. I don’t think Matt Patricia is a good head coach, but if Stafford is healthy it’s hard to bet on them not being at least competitive. Then again they did trade away top corner Darius Slay this offseason, and they still don’t have much semblance of a pass-rush. They downgraded their offensive line by letting Graham Glasgow walk in free agency, and they overpaid to reunite Patricia with Jamie Collins. This one could really go either way, but I’d lean under.

The pick: Lean under.

Want to make a wager? Check out some great promotions from all the legal sportsbooks on our promo codes page!

See All
FanDuel Sportsbook

$50

Get $50 Free - No Deposit Required!

Register for a FanDuel Sportsbook account

Receive $50 in site credits to use on Sportsbook

No Deposit Required!

Winnings paid as CASH. 21+ and new players only. Full terms available at FanDuel Sportsbook.

DraftKings

$100

Win $100 if any team scores a point in any NFL, NBA, CFB, or CBB game!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account

Bet $1+ any NFL, NBA, CFB, or CBB game Money Line

If your team wins, you will be issued a $100 free bet bonus!

Must be 21+ located in AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WY or WV to play. Offer valid only for new customers. Full terms available at DraftKings Sportsbook.

BetMGM

$200

Bet $10, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new BetMGM account & deposit $20+

Bet $10 on your team to win Money Line

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

PointsBet

$200

Bet $20, Get $200 If Your Team Scores A Touchdown!

Register for a new PointsBet account & deposit $20+

Bet $20 on your team to win Money Line (NFL or NCAAF)

Win $200 in free bets if your team scores a touchdown

Caesars Sportsbook

$1,001

Get a $1,001 Free Bet!

Register for a new Caesars Sportsbook account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,001

Win or lose, you'll receive a free bet matching your initial stake - up to $1,001!

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

BetRivers

$250

Get a $250 Deposit Bonus!

Sign up for a new BetRivers account using promo code PICKSWISE

Make a deposit & get it doubled up to $250 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $100

Must be 21+. Play in IA Only. Gambling Problem? Call 1-800-BETS OFF

BetMGM

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new BetMGM & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

FanDuel Sportsbook

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Risk Free Bet!

Register for a new FanDuel Sportsbook account & deposit

Place your first bet up to $1,000 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $1,000

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

DraftKings

$1,000

Get a $1,000 Deposit Bonus!

Register for a new DraftKings Sportsbook account & deposit

DraftKings will match 20% of your deposit up to $1,000 total

To get a $100 bonus, deposit $500

21+. Terms & conditions apply.

Unibet

$500

Get a $500 Risk-Free Bet!

Register for a new Unibet account & make a deposit

Place your first bet up to $500 risk-free!

Get refunded up if you lose up to $500

New players only. Terms & conditions apply. 21+. VA only.

Monkey Knife Fight

$100

Claim 100% Instant Deposit Match up to $100!

Register for a Monkey Knife Fight account & deposit using promo code PICKSWISE100

Monkey Knife Fight will match your first deposit up to $100

Deposit $100 and you'll get $100 bonus + a free $5 game

18+. Terms and conditions apply. You must live in one of the states where real money DFS is legal.

TVG

$300

Get a $300 Risk-Free Bet with TVG Racebook!

Register for a new TVG account and make a deposit

Place your first single horse win-type bet up to $300

If your horse doesn't win you'll get a refund up to $300

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

BetAmerica Racing

$200

$200 Sign Up Bonus!

Fast, reliable and fast payouts - you'll have your money in 72 hours, if not sooner!

Proud history of providing safe, secure, and fun betting to American patrons

BetAmerica is owned by the iconic Churchill Downs Incorporated, home of 150 years of wagering history and the world-famous Kentucky Derby

Players who sign up using ‘BET200’ code will get a $200 sign up bonus. Offer valid for 7 days after registering on BetAmerica Racing product only. 21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.

TwinSpires

$400

Get a $400 Risk-Free Bet on the Breeders' Cup!

Register for a new Twinspires account using offer code PICKS400

Place a bet on the Breeders' Cup

Receive a refund if your first bet loses up to $400

21+. T&C's apply. Please gamble responsibly.