Sunday Night Football in Week 10 of the NFL season is a showdown in the AFC between the Pittsburgh Steelers and Los Angeles Chargers. Both teams have very real playoff hopes – division-title aspirations, in fact. Pittsburgh comes in with a 5-3 record, good for first place in the AFC North; Los Angeles is second in the AFC West at 6-3.
Here is my Same Game Parlay for the festivities, which get underway at 8:20 pm ET on NBC. Also be sure to check out our full Steelers vs Chargers predictions.
Steelers ML (+136)
Under 45.5 (-115)
Jaylen Warren to record 70+ rushing yards (+140)
Parlay odds: +675
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is some of the plan here, as Pittsburgh running back Jaylen Warren rushing for his fair share of yards would obviously work well with a Steelers win. At the same time, plays that aren’t correlated drive up the overall payout of the parlay. That is the case with also backing the under. But even Warren has a decent game, there is no reason why the under can’t cash. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
Steelers ML (+136)
The Chargers do not inspire a whole lot of confidence from an offensive standpoint. Their rushing attack has been all over the place in 2025, inconsistency that can be attributed mostly to injuries. Kimani Vidal is RB1 at the moment; he has had some productive performances but has disappeared against more stout defenses. Injuries have had a big impact on the offensive line, too. Now the Chargers face a Steelers defense that just befuddled a Colts offense that had been in fine form. Pittsburgh came up with 6 turnovers, 5 sacks, 6 tackles for loss and 13 passes deflected. As for Aaron Rodgers and the offense, it is a unit that doing enough to win games. It just might do enough again on Sunday night.
Under 45.5 (-115)
Chargers left tackle Joe Alt is out for the season, a development that should not be underestimated. Herbert has been sacked 10 times in a 4-game span, a number that would probably be even higher if the Dolphins had not been involved. Although the Steelers have struggled defensively at times, they still have TJ Watt and boast one of the better defensive lines in football. On the other side of the ball, L.A.’s defense is healthier than it has been all year long and it has given up just 30 total points over the past 2 outings. I’m rolling with the under, which also correlates nicely with Pittsburgh ML – because the Steelers probably can’t keep up in a high-scoring affair.
Jaylen Warren to record 70+ rushing yards (+140)
Los Angeles is pretty good against the pass, but its defense is far worse against the run. The Bolts rank #27 in the NFL in yards per rushing attempt allowed (4.9), so Warren should be able to take advantage. The Oklahoma State product has averaged at least 4.7 yards per carry in 3 of the last 4 contests, with the only exception coming against an outstanding Indianapolis defense. I’m expecting at least 20 carries for Warren this weekend – especially if Pittsburgh is in the lead, which we obviously need for the first leg of this Same Game Parlay.
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