Week 17 of the 2025 NFL season concludes with Monday Night Football between the Los Angeles Rams and Atlanta Falcons. Atlanta has long since been eliminated from playoff contention, but this is a big one for Los Angeles. The Rams are still fighting for the title in the best division in football, the NFC West.
I have been cashing Same Game Parlays left and right throughout the 2025 season, including 2 of my 4 efforts during Week 16 (+650 in Packers vs Bears and +600 in 49ers vs Colts). I also nailed both of my player prop bets for Cowboys vs Commanders on Thursday. Let’s keep the momentum rolling with my SGP for this 8:15 pm ET kickoff on ESPN. Also be sure to check out our full Rams vs Falcons predictions.
Rams -9.5 alternate spread (-102)
Puka Nacua to score a touchdown (-145)
Kyren Williams to record 80+ rushing yards (+186)
Parlay odds: +575
Part of the value in a Same Game Parlay, of course, is that all of its components can be correlated if you so choose. That is the entire plan here, as Los Angeles receiver Puca Nakua scoring a touchdown and running back Kyren Williams racking up plenty of yards would obviously work well with a big win by the Rams. Let’s break down each of the 3 legs.
Rams -9.5 alternate spread (-102)
Los Angeles played the game of the year in Week 16, losing an overtime thriller at Seattle. The Rams really should have won; they were a better team for the vast majority of that Thursday night showdown. It was a brutal loss, but it should no nothing to diminish anyone’s confidence in head coach Sean McVay’s squad. Expect the Rams to come out like gangbusters in Week 17, plus they have the benefit of playing on extra rest. The last time Atlanta faced an opponent that is currently inside the playoff cut line was Week 14 against none other than Seattle and the result was a humiliating 37-9 setback in front of its own fans. What’s to say this team will suddenly be competitive against the Rams? Kirk Cousins has actually looked serviceable in place of Michael Penix Jr., but an immobile quarterback against Jared Verse and L.A.’s pass rush is not a recipe for success. I see a double-digit win for the Rams in the cards.
Puka Nacua to score a touchdown (-145)
The Falcons may be top 10 in passing defense, but they really aren’t anything special in that department. They are allowing 7.1 yards per pass attempt and have given up 24 touchdowns through the air. Atlanta does have 50 sacks this season (second most in the NFL), but its blitz-heay packages won’t faze a gunslinger like Stafford. His connection should Nacua should be alive and well on Monday, especially with Davante Adams sidelined by a hamstring injury. Nacua can be counted on to pick up the slack in Adams’ absence. The BYU product has scored 4 touchdowns in the past 3 games, so asking him to find the endzone just once on Monday night should not be too much.
Kyren Williams to record 80+ rushing yards (+186)
You can expect L.A.’s ground game to be working, as well. The likely game script is for the visitors to build a sizable lead and then work the clock. That’s where Williams really comes into play. The former Notre Dame standout got 23 carries during last week’s loss to Seattle and it would be no surprise to see him get at least 20 in this matchup. He is facing a Falcons defense that ranks #25 league wide against the run, allowing 128.2 yards per game on 4.6 yards per carry. Williams has gained at least 70 yards in 6 of the last 7 contests, including more than 80 on 3 occasions during this stretch.
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