We are treated with an early tipoff in the Western Conference this Saturday, as the Houston Rockets look to avoid losing a third game in a row, taking on the best team in the Western Conference the OKC Thunder. Tune into ABC at 3:30 pm ET for the tip in what should be an exciting matchup.
My Same Game Parlay comes out at +422 odds and it includes a Money Line pick plus 2 player prop bets. Check out our NBA picks for a Saturday’s 10-game slate, as well, but now let’s get into my SGP!
Houston Rockets ML (+120)
Alperen Sengun to record 10+ rebounds (+112)
Chet Holmgren 1+ Made Threes (-430)
Same Game Parlay odds: +422
Houston Rockets ML (+120)
Resting Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is a really smart move by the Oklahoma City Thunder. He gets a full week off before the all-star break and then one more week after it, which should help him reset his batteries for the remainder of the season and another deep postseason run. In the short run, it’ll definitely hurt the Thunder’s win/loss record — but at 40-12 SU, I don’t think they’re too concerned about that. Thursday saw them lose to the Spurs for the fourth time this regular season, not surprising at all with quite a few important players out injured.
Not much will change on that front ahead of Saturday, as the motivated Houston Rockets come to town. KD and co. have dropped back-to-back home games vs Charlotte and Boston, but on the road they have won 3 in a row and have a positive ATS record this season. The injury situation isn’t ideal in their ranks, either, but it is much better at the moment compared to OKC. In head-to-head meetings, the Rockets are 4-2 ATS in 6 games and the Thunder have covered the spread only twice in 7 games overall. With Jalen Williams, Ajay Mitchell and SGA all out injured, the Rockets have a fabulous opportunity to get revenge for the 2 losses against OKC earlier in the season. I’m backing them to do just that.
Alperen Sengun to record 10+ rebounds (+112)
Consistency in the scoring department might have eluded Sengun over the past week or so of play, but I am here to tell you he should be in for a really productive game against the Thunder on Saturday. His rebounding has been on point for most of 2026 so far, the past 6 games have seen him grab double-digit rebounds 4 times, while in the 2 games in which he failed he was only 1 rebound short. Over the past 5 meetings against the Thunder he is averaging 23.4 points, 10.2 rebounds and 5.4 assists per game — clearing this line 4 times. We all still remember his stellar 39, 11 and 7 performance on opening night when the Thunder narrowly edged out the Rockets. Rebounding has been an Achilles’ heel for the Thunder for quite a while now; they rank seventh in the NBA in opponent rebounds per game. Their 3 most recent games have seen an uptick in opponent rebounds by 0.8 per game, against San Antonio they surrendered an unreal 63 rebounds, 18 of which came at the offensive end for the Spurs. I’m including Sengun into my bet without hesitation.
Chet Holmgren 1+ made threes (-430)
Chet Holmgren’s responsibilities on offense will change quite a bit now that leading scorer Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is out injured. The big man is averaging 17.7 points per game this season, ranking second on the team. I would expect that number to go up by more than a few points in the coming weeks or so of play. His 3-point accuracy has been on point for the most part in home games at 35.4%, which is in line with what he has averaged his entire career. Houston has been a solid 3-point defensive team this year, but over the past 3 games opponents have shot 40% against them from downtown — which is a noticeable difference compared to their season average of just 34.9%. Chet’s numbers in the last 5 meetings read 21.2 points per game and 2.8 threes made per game on an insane 56% efficiency. He has cleared this line in 32 of 45 games so far this season, yielding a profit in 71% of games played. Let’s back him to do well.
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