It is one of the most anticipated regular-season games in a while as the San Antonio Spurs take on the Oklahoma City Thunder for the 4th time this season. The Spurs raised a lot of eyebrows by winning the first 3 meetings, and the last 2 have been by double-digits. Can the defending champs respond with their backs against the wall? Tune into NBC at 8:00 pm ET for the tip, and to add a little extra excitement, I’ve pieced together my Spurs vs Thunder parlay picks at +673 odds. Let’s break down our SGP, while you can also grab our NBA picks for all 7 games tonight.
Spurs +8 (-114)
De’Aaron Fox over 5.5 assists (+104)
Chet Holmgren 2+ made threes (+126)
Spurs vs Thunder parlay odds: +673
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Spurs vs Thunder parlay pick: San Antonio Spurs +8 over OKC Thunder (-114)
San Antonio is up 3-0, winning the last 2 meetings by double-digits. The most notable win was in the NBA Cup semis, and ever since that game, the dominance of the Thunder has waned a bit. On the other hand, San Antonio has remained very stable and still holds the 2nd seed in the Western Conference with a really solid outlook on the remainder of the season.
There is no Isaiah Hartenstein in this game for the Thunder, which could be a big blow considering he would’ve been lining up against Victor Wembanyama. Even with Hartenstein, the Thunder have struggled to keep teams off the glass this season, ranking only 21st in opponent rebounds per game, allowing 54.6. Over their 3 most recent games, that number is up to 62.3 per game, I can already picture the alarm bells going off in the pre-game meeting, highlighting just how important winning the rebounding battle will be here.
The Spurs have had the Thunder’s number this season in all 3 meetings and I’ll continue to backing them until that changes. They’re once again heavy underdogs according to the bookmakers, and given OKC has failed to cover in 5 consecutive games, I like San Antonio to at least keep this one close.
Read our full Spurs vs Thunder prediction
Spurs vs Thunder parlay pick: De’Aaron Fox over 5.5 assists (+104)
Even though he is only 2nd on the team in assists per game, the Spurs count on De’Aaron Fox’s 5.8 assists per game on a nightly basis to win games. With Victor Wembanyama being healthy and playing by his side, Fox no longer has to score a ton of points for his team to have a chance at winning. Instead, I am hoping he focuses more on his role as the distributor, which will increase the Spurs’ chances of getting a result in this game significantly. In 3 meetings with OKC this season, he’s averaging 5.3 assists per game, while in road games that number is at 5.9 per game for the season. The talented point guard has had at least 5 assists in 18 of 31 games (58%), and I’m confident he can push that to 6 in Tuesday’s game.
Spurs vs Thunder parlay pick: Chet Holmgren 2+ made threes (+126)
There’s no love lost between Chet Holmgren and Victor Wembanyama. These 2 have had their battles in the 3 meetings this season, with Wemby coming out on top both individually and when it comes to team success. There’s no question that’ll be a motivating factor for Holmgren to do well here – his three-ball has been relatively stable in home games this season, with the big man connecting on 39.7% of his shots. He’s knocked down a three in 25 of 34 games this season (74%), which is pretty solid consistency for a player who is only the 3rd scoring option behind SGA and Jalen Williams.
The last 8 meetings with San Antonio have seen Holmgren shoot the three-ball at 38%, and he has failed to connect on a three-pointer only once during this stretch. This season, the Spurs rank only 18th in opponent three-point percentage, allowing 36% of shots to go in. Let’s hope Holmgren can have a bit of success against Wemby here.
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