Friday’s Big 12 matchup between the TCU Horned Frogs and the Arizona State Sun Devils is an interesting one, as the winner of this game will be positioned nicely in the conference race along with Texas Tech. This will be TCU’s first conference game of the year, but the Horned Frogs have certainly looked the part offensively – averaging 41.7 points per game while boasting a perfect 3-0 record. Arizona State comes into this contest at 3-1, having already played a conference game. In fact, the Sun Devils won in Baylor last week via last second field goal after outgaining the Bears and possessing the ball for about 13 more minutes of game time.
Now conference opponents, the Horned Frogs and the Sun Devils have not met on the gridiron in 50 years. This should be quite an exciting game in primetime on Friday night, so let’s use this as an opportunity for a TCU vs Arizona State Same Game Parlay. Here are my favorite parlay picks for this Big 12 matchup, and don’t forget to check out all of our CFB picks for the monstrous Week 5 slate.
Arizona State ML (-150)
Josh Hoover (TCU) over 0.5 interceptions thrown (-165)
Jordyn Tyson (ASU) anytime touchdown (-150)
TCU vs Arizona State same game parlay odds: +275
Odds courtesy of bet365 at the time of publishing
Arizona State Sun Devils ML over TCU Horned Frogs (-150)
Arizona State has been great at home since joining the Big 12, boasting a 7-1 ATS record since the start of last season. On top of that, the Sun Devils are in a great situational spot, as home favorites of less than 9.5 points are 28-4-2 SU in Friday games with a total lower than 62 points since the start of the 2022 season. Making this trend even stronger is the fact that TCU comes into this game following an emotional rivalry win and cover over SMU in what was the final installment of the Battle for the Iron Skillet for the foreseeable future.
This is a battle of two excellent quarterbacks, and while Sam Leavitt has more turnover-worthy plays this season, I trust him more at home than I do Josh Hoover on the road. For reference, dating back to the start of the 2023 season, Hoover has 18 turnover-worthy plays and and 11 interceptions in 11 road games. That does not bode well for TCU’s offense considering Arizona State’s secondary has been very opportunistic, ranking 16th in havoc generated by defensive backs. Not to mention the fact that the Sun Devils will be the strongest third-down defense that TCU has faced this year, ranking top 35 nationally in opposing conversion rate. This should help ASU get TCU off the field more often than the Frogs are used to considering how strong they have been on third downs this season. Give me ASU at home in a complete performance.
Josh Hoover (TCU) over 0.5 interceptions thrown (-180)
Like I mentioned above, Hoover has been prone to mistakes on the road as a starting quarterback, so let’s include him throwing an interception in this parlay. Don’t get me wrong, Hoover has played very well this year, but he hasn’t been perfect. He has thrown 2 interceptions, including one last week against SMU, and has a turnover-worthy play in every game thus far – even against Abilene Christian. Arizona State deploys 3 of the top 20 defensive backs in the Big 12 per PFF’s coverage grade, so I expect the Sun Devils to make Hoover pay for any ill-advised throws.
Jordyn Tyson (ASU) anytime touchdown (-150)
What is there to say about Jordyn Tyson that hasn’t already been said? The 6’2, 200-pound wide receiver has picked up right where he left off last season, already pulling in 5 touchdowns in just 4 games. Moreover, he is third nationally in targets thus far, so expect him to get yet another heavy workload against a TCU secondary that leaves a bit to be desired. For reference, the Horned Frogs are 109th in PPA per pass allowed and 135th in pass downs PPA allowed, while giving up 6 passing touchdowns through 4 games – which is tied for 93rd in the country. Tyson should find the end zone here.
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