Filip Tomic
After getting on the board in Game 3, pressure is now on Minnesota to tie things up in their best-of-seven series against Oklahoma City. Catch Game 4 on Monday, tipping-off at 8.30 pm ET on ESPN. I’ve prepared a +300 odds Same Game Parlay, we were just one Chet Holmgren three pointer away from cashing on my bet in Saturday’s game.
Get predictions on the side and total for all NBA Conference Finals and Finals games on our NBA Picks page but now let’s get into my Timberwolves vs Thunder Game 4 bet!
MIN Timberwolves ML (+122)
Julius Randle to Score 15+ Points (-310)
Naz Reid 2+ Made Threes (-142)
Same Game Parlay odds: +300
MIN Timberwolves ML (+122)
Game 4 has the potential to be a momentum shifting game in this series as we get to see how serious the Ant Man and his Minnesota Timberwolves are. They were never going to lose Game 3 in front of a sold out Target Center. A strong start in which they built a 20-point lead in the opening 12 minutes of play steadied the ship as they just ran over the Thunder. OKC’s approach will certainly change following their biggest loss of the postseason and here lies the tricky part for Minnesota – can they respond when facing adversity? I believe they can. Anthony Edwards had his best game of the series with 30 points in Game 3, but what is also encouraging is the fac that Randle added 24 with four other bench players scoring in double-digits. We all know the depth of the Thunder is unmatched in the NBA, but if the T’Wolves can once again get solid production from their role players they’ll be in a good spot here. Minnesota has covered the spread in 4 of 6 meetings now, Saturday’s win at Target Center was their 10th in 11 games played there. They are also 14-4 SU in 18 games vs Western Conference opponents and with OKC failing to cover in 6 straight road games, I feel like this is a really good spot to back the home team. Back the T’Wolves to tie things up as we head back to OKC for Game 5.
Read our full OKC Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves Game 4 Predictions.
Julius Randle to Score 15+ Points (-310)
I felt like Randle was unfairly criticized following that Game 2 performance where he had just 6 points on 2-for-11 shooting. Now granted, it was by far his worst game this postseason, but prior to that he was arguably Minnesota’s most consistent performer on the offensive end. He’s cracked the 20 point mark in 10 of 13 postseason games so far, while averaging 22.8 per game on 51% from the field and 37.7% from three. With Minnesota’s season pretty much on the line here, I’m looking at him to provide the necessary help to Ant Man on offense in an attempt to avoid a 3-1 deficit. It’s pretty clear to me that OKC doesn’t have a player that’s physical enough close to the basket that can handle Randle and this is where he can make most of his damage. Minnesota dominated the points in the paint battle 56-42 in Game 3, that’ll be the recipe for success in Monday’s game as well. Scoring 15 should be a very easy task for Randle who has failed to do this only once in the 13 games played so far this postseason.
Naz Reid 2+ Made Threes (-142)
Following three consecutive games without making a three-pointer, Naz Reid finally delivered a pair in Game 3 as he went 2-for-3 from downtown en route to 10 point scored. That’ll be a massive confidence booster for the former 6th man of the year, as he looks to regain his form from the regular season. After averaging 14.2 points per game in 80 regular season outings, Reid is down to 10.3 per game in the postseason, hardly resembling the player he was coming off the bench. What should encourage us here though is the fact that his efficiency has actually gone up compared to the regular season and with another home game coming his way his confidence should be high going into Game 4. During the regular season he toyed with the OKC defense averaging 22.5 points and 11 rebounds per game in 4 meetings, knocking down 45% of his shots. The unwritten rule in the NBA says that role players usually play better at home than on the road, so I’m hoping the Timberwolves rely a bit more on him for offense in Monday’s game.
