Today's Best NBA Player Prop Picks & Odds, Saturday 5/18: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander stuffs the stat sheet

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A pivotal game 6 in set in Dallas, as the Mavericks look to stamp their ticket to the Western Conference Finals at the expense of the Oklahoma City Thunder.

I am backing MVP Finalist Shai Gilgeous-Alexander with the Thunder’s back against the wall. You can also check out our full Thunder vs Mavericks predictions on the side and total.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, OKC, Over 13.5 rebounds + assists (-115)

Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander willed the Oklahoma City Thunder to the #1 seed in the Western Conference but is one game away from being sent home. During this series against, the Mavericks’ plan of letting complimentary pieces beat them has worked well. Luguentz Dort is shooting 11-of-34 from deep this series, and as a 34% career 3-point shooter the Mavs are living with that. Cason Wallace and Isaiah Joe are seeing extended time, as Josh Giddey has been schemed out of this series — which helps Alexander’s playmaking.

Alexander’s rebounds upside this series give this player prop line great value. He is averaging 9 rebounds per game while averaging more than 15 rebounds chances. Alexander not defending Luka Donic and Kyrie Irving on the perimeter has lifted his rebounds line to 7.5.

FanDuel has moved this price to -136, while the rest of the major market has dragged behind. You can find Alexander’s rebounds + assists price at -115 on DraftKings.

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