Today's Best NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Sunday 3/3: Jalen Suggs stays hot

Orlando Magic guards Jalen Suggs (4) and Cole Anthony (50) celebrate after a basket against the Washington Wizards during the second half at Amway Center.
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The NBA takes center stage on Sunday with 8 games on deck starting at 1:00 E.T. Let’s dive into my top NBA player prop bets.

Make sure you also read our NBA predictions for today’s matchups.

Jalen Suggs, PG, ORL, Over 10.5 points (-110)

Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

We have the luxury of getting Jalen Suggs points line at a slight discount. FanDuel currently has this line set at 11.5. He’s topped 11+ points in 58% of games this season. But only 12+ in 47%. We’re not paying much juice either for over 10.5. Let’s dive more into our top NBA player prop bet for Sunday.

Jalen Suggs has improved his three-point ball significantly this season. He’s near 40% from three-point range and 43% in his last 10 games. At home, where the Magic will be hosting the Pistons today, Suggs sees his shooting splits rise. He’s shooting nearly 50% from the field and has scored at least 11 points in 16/26 at home.

Suggs took over the last game in the 4th quarter against the Utah Jazz. He scored 10 points in just 5 minutes. We’re looking for Suggs to carry over that momentum against a Pistons team he scored 14 points against a little over a week ago.

Pascal Siakam, PF, IND, Under 21.5 points (-105)

Odds available at DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing.

You can fade players against bad defenses if the line seems too high. Pascal Siakam will take on the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday night as 6.5-point favorites on the road. The Spurs registered a bottom 10 defensive rating in February, but Victor Wembanyama will be patrolling the paint – Myles Turner will sometimes pull him out.

With Wembanyama on the floor, the Spurs defensive rating sees a +7.5 difference – Not to mention the fact that Siakam has stayed under this line in six of his last eight games played with Myles Turner and Tyrese Haliburton.

The Pacers are fresh off getting slaughtered in New Orleans, where starters didn’t play in the 4th quarter. Haliburton failed to score as he was on lockdown against Herb Jones. Tonight against the Spurs suits Haliburton much better as they allow 2nd most points to the position. Regarding power forward defense, the Spurs rank in the top half of the NBA.

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