Today's Best NBA Prop Bet Picks & Predictions, Wednesday 5/1: Jayson Tatum's role changes in Kristaps Porzingis' absence

Boston Celtics forward Jayson Tatum (0) brings the ball up court against the Dallas Mavericks during the second quarter at the American Airlines Center.
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Prop Holliday - Bobby Stanley


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We have 2 very different games this Wednesday night in the NBA. The Celtics head back home in Game 5 to likely close out the series against Miami, with 2 starters missing in Kristaps Porzingis for Boston and Jaime Jacquez for the Heat. The Mavericks go back to Los Angeles, where Kawhi Leonard will be out, although the Clippers are 2-0 with him sitting this series (scratches head). You can find out our NBA picks on the side and total for each of those matchups, but for now, let’s get into my best NBA player prop bet of the day.

Jayson Tatum (BOS) over 15.5 rebounds + assists (-115)

Line available on DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.

Kristaps and Jacquez are both out tonight so I ran the numbers this series with both players off the floor: Derrick White and Jaylen Brown are the biggest scoring beneficiaries of this scenario. However, Tatum leads the team with 8 assists in those possessions. 87% of those assists are coming from three-point shots, which Miami is famous for allowing given their preference for zone defense. Tatum has the highest rebounding rate for the Celtics on a per-possession basis in the same scenario, just narrowingly edging out Al Horford. He’s hit this line in 3-of-4 games this series and although this could be a blowout, the Celtics will take no chances with Miami and close out the game in Boston. He should be in line for 40+ minutes tonight. 1u.

This Jayson Tatum player prop bet has the best odds available with DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users can INSTANTLY secure $200 in bonus bets from a first wager of just $5! Click here to sign up now and bet on our Tatum prop pick.

$5 NBA Player Prop Lotto, 5/2 (+1790)

  • Bam Adebayo Top Point Scorer (+600)
  • Luka Doncic Threes Made Leader (+170)

$5 pays $94.50

Make sure you also check out our Heat vs Celtics Same Game Parlay for tonight’s big matchup

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