Matthew Lowrimore
UFC Fight Night 256 takes place on Saturday at the UFC Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada. This card features a UFC Welterweight fight between Gilbert Burns and Michael Morales as the Main Event.
Here are our best bets for this UFC card, which will include 3 fights on the Main Card. Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC Fight Night 256 Main Card fights.
UFC Fight Night 256 Main Card Best Bets
Michael Morales Win by KO/TKO over Gilbert Burns (-150)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.
The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 256 will see Gilbert Burns take on Michael Morales. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Morales comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-0 and 6-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.42 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Morales is absorbing 3.42 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.16 takedowns per 15 minutes. Morales has a takedown accuracy of 41% and a takedown defense of 92%.
Morales is the overwhelming favorite; therefore, instead of backing him on the money line, we will be looking at how he could win this fight. Morales has won 3 of his 6 UFC fights by KO/TKO and 12 of his 17 career fights by the same method. Burns has lost his last 3 fights in a row and has 3 career losses by KO/TKO. Given that Morales has proven to have a ton of power and Burns has become inconsistent, backing Morales to win by KO/TKO will be our best bet.
Read our full Gilbert Burns vs. Michael Morales prediction
Rodolfo Bellato vs. Paul Craig – Over 1.5 Rounds (+105)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing
The Co-Main Event at UFC Fight Night 256 will see Rodolfo Bellato take on Paul Craig. This will be a fight in the UFC Light Heavyweight division. With Bellato being the heavy favorite, we are going to look to back a total rounds prop for this fight. Craig has seen 3 of his last 4 UFC fights go over 1.5 rounds, while Bellato has seen all 4 of his UFC fights go over 1.5 rounds. Craig has recently lost several times by finish, but has been able to survive a least a few rounds in these fights. For that reason, backing this fight to go Over 1.5 Rounds will be our best bet.
Read our full Rodolfo Bellato vs. Paul Craig prediction
Mairon Santos ML over Sodiq Yusuff (-125)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing
The third fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 256 will see Sodiq Yusuff take on Mairon Santos. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Santos enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-1 and 2-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.14 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. Santos absorbs 2.37 strikes and has a striking defense of 70%. His grappling has been non-existent, but he has a takedown defense of 40%.
Santos is the slight favorite in this fight and looks to be the best betting option. Yusuff does have the better striking volume, but Santos is better at defending against strikes. Santos has also started his UFC career with a perfect record of 2-0, while Yusuff is 0-2 in his last 2 UFC fights. Because Santos is trending up and Yusuff is trending down, our best bet will be for Santos to win.
Read our full Sodiq Yusuff vs. Mairon Santos prediction
