UFC Fight Night 258: Nassourdine Imavov vs. Caio Borralho picks, predictions and best bets: Borralho Remains Unbeaten in the UFC

Nov 4, 2023; Sao Paulo, Brazil; Caio Borralho (red gloves) reacts after defeating Abus Magomedov (not pictured) during UFC Fight Night at Ibirapuera Arena.
Photo of Matthew Lowrimore

Matthew Lowrimore

UFC

Matthew has been with Pickswise for a while now, covering a wide variety of sports. His main passions are college football and UFC, and those are the sports he has covered the most. Matthew uses a variety of methods to handicap games, including stats, trends, injuries, and situational factors. His goal is to consistently give out winners and will put in the research to try and achieve this. For Matt Lowrimore media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
Read more about Matthew Lowrimore

UFC Fight Night 258 takes place on Saturday at the Accor Arena in Paris, France. This card features a UFC Middleweight fight between Nassourdine Imavov and Caio Borralho as the Main Event. Here are our best bets for this UFC card, which will include 3 fights on the Main Card.

Be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC Fight Night 258 Main Card fights.

UFC Fight Night 258 Main Card Best Bets

UFC best bet: Caio Borralho ML over Nassourdine Imavov (-130)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing.

The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 258 will see Nassourdine Imavov take on Caio Borralho. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Borralho comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-1 and 9-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.61 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 60%. Borralho is absorbing 2.34 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.56 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy 60% and his takedown defense is 76%.

Borralho is the small favorite in this fight, but looks to be the best betting option. He has been perfect in the UFC, and while his striking volume is not quite as strong as Imavov’s, he does have the edge in grappling. Additionally, Borralho has been much better at absorbing damage and is a more accurate striker. For that reason, backing Borralho to win will be our play.

Read our full Caio Borralho vs. Nassourdine Imavov prediction

UFC prediction: Benoit Saint Denis vs. Mauricio Ruffy – Fight to End by KO/TKO (-150)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing

The Co-Main Event at UFC Fight Night 258 will see Benoit Saint Denis take on Mauricio Ruffy. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Saint Denis enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-3 and 6-3 in the UFC. As for Ruffy, he enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-1 and 4-0 in the UFC.

Ruffy is the clear favorite; however, we will be looking for this fight to end by KO/TKO. Saint Denis has seen 5 of his last 7 UFC fights end by KO/TKO, while Ruffy has seen 3 of his 4 UFC fights do the same. Because of this, backing this fight to end by KO/TKO will be our play.

Read our full Benoit Saint Denis vs. Mauricio Ruffy prediction

UFC pick: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Paul Craig – Over 1.5 Rounds (-145)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 258 will see Modestas Bukauskas take on Paul Craig. This will be a fight in the UFC Light Heavyweight division. Bukauskas enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-6 and 6-4 in the UFC. As for Craig, he enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-9-1 and he is 9-9-1 in the UFC.

Bukauskas is the significant favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be looking to back this fight to go over 1.5 rounds. Both Craig and Bukauskas have seen 4 of their last 6 UFC fights go over 1.5 rounds; therefore, backing the same here will be our play.

Read our full Modestas Bukauskas vs. Paul Craig prediction

Pickswise
*
By signing up you agree to our terms and privacy policy