UFC Fight Night 269 takes place on Saturday at the Meta Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, and features a UFC Featherweight fight between Josh Emmett and Kevin Vallejos as the main event. I have 3 best bets for UFC Fight Night 269, all of which are on the main card — and I’m ready to break each of them down for you.
Let’s get into it, and be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC Fight Night 269 main-card contests.
UFC best bet: Kevin Vallejos Win by Finish over Josh Emmett (-135)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing. Playable to -135.
The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 269 will see Josh Emmett take on Kevin Vallejos. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Vallejos enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-1 and 4-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.78 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. Vallejos is absorbing 4.71 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. He has been a decent grappler, averaging 0.71 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 28%, and his takedown defense is 83%.
Vallejos is one of the biggest favorites on the fight card; therefore, we will be looking at his method of victory. Through 5 UFC fights, Vallejos has won 3 of them by finish. Emmett, on the other hand, is 1-4 in his last 5 UFC fights, which includes 2 losses by finish. Overall, Vallejos has won 14 of his 17 career MMA fights by finish; therefore, backing the same here will be our best bet.
Read our full Josh Emmett vs Kevin Vallejos prediction
UFC prediction: Gillian Robertson ML over Amanda Lemos (-198)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing. Playable to -198.
The Co-Main Event at UFC Fight Night 269 will see Amanda Lemos take on Gillian Robertson. This will be a fight in the UFC Women’s Strawweight division. Robertson enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-8 and 13-6 in the UFC. She averages 2.86 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 48%. Robertson absorbs 2.86 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. Her grappling has also been solid, averaging 2.74 takedowns every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 40%, and her takedown defense is 41%.
Robertson is the clear favorite in this fight; however, she still looks to be the best betting option. Over her last 7 UFC fights, Robertson is 6-1, while during the same stretch, Lemos is 4-3. Robertson also has the advantage in striking volume and grappling, so because she is in better form, backing Robertson to win will be our best bet.
Read our full Gillian Robertson vs Amanda Lemos prediction
UFC pick: Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund – Fight to End by KO/TKO (+130)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing. Playable to +130.
The first fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 269 will see Vitor Petrino take on Steven Asplund. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division. Petrino enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-2 and 7-2 in the UFC. As for Asplund, he enters this fight with an MMA record of 7-1 and 2-0 in the UFC.
Petrino is the heavy favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be looking at the exact method of victory. Asplund may only have 2 UFC fights under his belt, but both of them have ended by KO/TKO. Petrino, on the other hand, has seen 2 of his last 3 UFC fights end by KO/TKO. Therefore, based on the fact that both fighters have shown immense striking ability, backing this fight to end by KO/TKO will be our play.
Read our full Vitor Petrino vs Steven Asplund prediction
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