UFC Fight Night 272 takes place on Saturday at the Meta Apex in Las Vegas, Nevada, and features a UFC Lightweight fight between Renato Moicano and Chris Duncan as the main event. I have 3 best bets for UFC Fight Night 272, all of which are on the main card, and I’m ready to break each of them down for you.
Let’s get into it, and be sure to also check out the rest of our UFC predictions for all of the UFC Fight Night 272 main-card contests.
UFC best bet: Chris Duncan Win by Finish over Renato Moicano (-115)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing. Playable to -115.
The Main Event at UFC Fight Night 272 will see Renato Moicano take on Chris Duncan. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Duncan enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-2 and 7-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.02 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. Duncan absorbs 4.82 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling has also been elite, averaging 3.27 takedowns every 15 minutes. Duncan has a takedown accuracy of 42% and a takedown of 50%.
Duncan is the clear favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be targeting his method of victory. Moicano has recently struggled in the UFC, losing each of his last 2 fights. Further, he has lost 5 times by finish in his MMA career, while Duncan has won 11 times by finish in his MMA career. Duncan has also won 4 UFC fights in a row, 3 of which were by finish. Because of this, backing Duncan to win by a finish is our best bet.
Read our full Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan prediction
UFC prediction: Tabatha Ricci vs. Virna Jandiroba
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at the time of publishing. Playable to +105.
The Co-Main Event at UFC Fight Night 272 will see Virna Jandiroba take on Tabatha Ricci. This will be a fight in the UFC Women’s Strawweight division. Ricci comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-3 and 7-3 in the UFC. She is averaging 4.18 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 36%. Ricci is absorbing 5.19 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. Her grappling has also been elite, averaging 2.69 takedowns every 15 minutes. She has a takedown accuracy of 37%, and her takedown defense is 78%.
This fight is essentially even, with Jandiroba set as the small favorite. That said, Ricci looks to be a solid betting option to pull the upset. Ricci is the more balanced fighter and has the advantage in striking volume. She is also basically equal to Jandiroba in grappling; therefore, backing Ricci to win will be our best bet.
Read our full Tabatha Ricci vs. Virna Jandiroba prediction
UFC pick: Rafael Estevam ML over Ethyn Ewing (+120)
Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook at time of publishing. Playable to +120.
The third fight on the Main Card at UFC Fight Night 272 will see Ethyn Ewing take on Rafael Estevam. This will be a fight in the UFC Bantamweight division. Estevam enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-0 and 4-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.10 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 54%. Estevam absorbs 2.59 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling has been elite in the UFC, averaging 6.01 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 38% and has a takedown defense of 66%.
Ewing is the favorite; however, Estevam looks to be the best betting option. Estevam does not have the greatest striking volume compared to Ewing, but his grappling ability is much more sound. Further, he absorbs fewer strikes and has elite grappling ability. For that reason, backing Estevam to pull off the upset will be our best bet.
Read our full Ethyn Ewing vs. Rafael Estevam prediction
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