It’s the final Saturday of the college football regular season, and while we will have plenty of opportunities to cash a few parlays throughout bowl season and the College Football Playoff, it’s the last opportunity to cash in big before conference title games take center stage next week.
With rivalry week in full swing, it’s time to break down each leg of our Week 14 Saturday college football parlay with odds courtesy of bet365 before you head over to our NCAAF predictions and CFB best bets for the rest of the Week 14 slate.
Ohio State -9.5 (-110)
South Carolina ML (-140)
Vanderbilt ML (+125)
Week 14 Saturday CFB parlay odds: +636
Ohio State Buckeyes -9.5 over Michigan Wolverines (-110)
In case you haven’t heard, Michigan has controlled this rivalry series since COVID, which includes a surprise win in Columbus last year over the then-undefeated Buckeyes. The Bucks were laying 19.5 points in that game and lost 13-10. Despite all the star power, OSU just couldn’t get going. However, in the grand scheme of things, the loss to Michigan was good for the Buckeyes. They corrected their shortcomings and bulldozed their way to a national championship just a month and a half after their embarrassing effort in The Game.
This time around, while OSU is still focused on yet its second consecutive title, you can guarantee the Buckeyes are solely focused on not only beating the Wolverines, but destroying them. I don’t care how many points they are laying here, the Buckeyes are going to take any chance they can get to run up the score and inflict pain on their arch-rivals in the Big House on Sunday. Ohio State has every statistical advantage imaginable, and the unquantifiable motivation for revenge only makes OSU’s case even stronger.
South Carolina ML over Clemson Tigers (-140)
Sure, Clemson has the better record than its in-state rival, but you’d have a tough time convincing me the Tigers would have a better record than the Gamecocks if Clemson had South Carolina’s schedule. Take a look at who the Gamecocks have played since the middle of September: Vanderbilt, Missouri, Kentucky, LSU, Oklahoma, Alabama, Ole Miss, and Texas A&M. As many as 5 of those teams may wind up in the 12-team playoff. Meanwhile, Clemson’s toughest opponents were LSU, Georgia Tech, SMU, and Georgia Tech. There’s no real comparison.
For all intents and purposes, this is a step down in level of competition for South Carolina and a step up for Clemson. Clemson is bowl eligible, so the Tigers still have something to look forward to after this game – but this is South Carolina’s Super Bowl being that the Gamecocks are not bowl eligible. Look for Shane Beamer and the coaching staff to pull out all of the tricks, deception, and fakes, and for the Gamecocks to ride LaNorris Sellers to a win just like they did last year in the upstate.
Vanderbilt Commodores ML over Tennessee Volunteers (+125)
This has been a one-sided rivalry in recent years, but this is by far the best version of Vanderbilt that Tennessee will have seen in quite some time. The Commodores are top-10 in scoring, total offense, yards per play, and red-zone touchdown rate this season, and their level of play hasn’t fallen off lately despite a relatively grueling stretch of games. In fact, Vandy is 6th in PPA per play and top-20 in finishing drives over the last 5 weeks.
The ‘Dores are extremely efficient on first and second downs, which puts them in favorable third-down situations – where they tend to thrive. That may not be very comforting for the Vols, as their third-down defense is one of the worst traits of this stop-unit. Tennessee also really struggles in the red zone, allowing opponents to finish their red-zone trips with touchdowns at the third-highest rate nationally.
With CFP hopes alive – though on life support – the Vols have everything to play for here. The Vols are also the last target on Diego Pavia’s redemption tour list. Give me Vandy with the upset in Rocky Top.
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