Week 15 NFL Parlay: Picks, Predictions and Odds Today

Week 14 of the NFL season is in the books and what a week it was. There was plenty of drama across the slate, including a pretty significant win for the Texans over the Chiefs for the biggest result of the week. While I was unable to cash in on my Week 14 mega parlay, I did cash back in Week 1 at +2512 odds! I have come within 1 or 2 legs of cashing these massive parlays with recent efforts, so let’s make it a second winner!

With the Week 15 Sunday slate on the horizon, let’s get right into my NFL Week 15 mega parlay that pays out at over 12/1 odds at BetMGM Sportsbook.

Packers ML (-130)

Lions +6 (-110)

Bills ML (-115)

Chargers vs Chiefs Under 41.5 (-110)

Seahawks ML (-900)

NFL Week 15 parlay odds: +1227

Green Bay Packers ML over Denver Broncos (-130)

This is one of the most consequential games on the Week 15 slate and Green Bay is my preferred side, even in Denver. The Broncos offense has been managing to make things work in recent weeks, but Denver’s offense has been a bottom 10 unit since Week 10 in DVOA. The Broncos ground attack has been virtually nonexistent, and that shouldn’t change against a stout Packers rush defense that is playing some of its best football of the season of late. Speaking of playing at a high level, Jordan Love has emerged as an MVP candidate in recent weeks, and Green Bay’s offense has been one of the most balanced units in the sport over the last month as well. Denver has probably peaked in its price in the market at this point, so let’s roll with the Packers as short road favorites. 

Detroit Lions +6 over Los Angeles Rams (-110)

The Lions got back on track in a big way in a win over the Cowboys last Thursday, and despite the fact that the Rams are the current favorite in the NFC, it’s hard to see Detroit losing convincingly on Sunday. After all, the Lions ground game is still as strong as any team across the league and as long as they have Jahmyr Gibbs in top form, Dan Campbell’s team is still extremely formidable. This is a top 5 unit in DVOA for good reason, and while the Lions defense can be expected to surrender points to Matthew Stafford and an elite Rams offense, the Los Angeles defense struggled against teams that can run the rock efficiently (Philadelphia, Carolina, San Francisco). This one should come down to the wire, so I’ll back the road underdog on Sunday. 

Buffalo Bills ML over New England Patriots (-115)

Much of the talk has been about Drake Maye and the red-hot Patriots heading into this game, but New England has certainly overachieved a bit to this point, and the Patriots are likely due for some regression on both sides of the ball going forward. The first meeting between these two teams revealed a final score that was a bit misleading compared to how the game flow actually looked. In fact, the Bills turned the ball over 3 times — 2 of which came in Patriots territory — and New England still needed a walk-off field goal to emerge victorious. We can expect Josh Allen and the Bills to play a cleaner and more efficient game in this spot, especially since this Buffalo offense is getting healthier in recent weeks. I’ll trust in Allen in a spot where he’s been very profitable historically, while also fading the Patriots hype train.

Los Angeles Chargers vs Kansas City Chiefs Under 41.5 (-110)

For our next leg, we’ll target the under in this AFC West showdown between the Los Angeles Chargers and Kansas City Chiefs. Despite picking up a win, the Chargers offense was largely inept against Philadelphia, and it took 5 turnovers from the Eagles for Los Angeles to emerge with a victory in that game. With Justin Herbert playing with a broken hand in frigid temperatures this week, he should be in for a long afternoon against a Chiefs front that should be eager to put forth its most focused effort in what is a must-win game. On the other side, Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs offense can’t be trusted to score 20 points given their recent performance, so even if Kansas City pulls out a win, we expect it to be a pretty ugly, low-scoring game. 

Seattle Seahawks ML over Indianapolis Colts (-900)

To close out our mega parlay, let’s take the Seattle Seahawks on the money line to serve as an anchor leg. For starters, this is a nightmare spot for 45-year-old Philip Rivers in his first start in nearly 5 years at the NFL level. Seattle’s defense is one of the best units in football, and Mike Macdonald’s team has racked up a whopping 15 interceptions through 14 games this year.  Not only should Rivers turn the ball over at least once in this game, but the Colts rush offense shouldn’t generate much success on the ground in this one either. The Seahawks should only need 14-17 points to win this game, so I’ll gladly add them as the final leg of our parlay.