Ricky Dimon
And then there were 4… the women’s semifinals at Wimbledon are set for Thursday, when the remaining players will try to keep their title hopes alive and reach Saturday’s final. Aryna Sabalenka and Amanda Anisimova will go head-to-head in a big-hitting battle, while our Wimbledon women’s singles best bet at the start of the tournament, Iga Swiatek, faces a relative underdog in Belinda Bencic. Let’s take a look at the Wimbledon best bets to be made on the Day 11 schedule.
Iga Swiatek vs Belinda Bencic Under 21.5 games (-115)
My best bet for this matchup is Swiatek to prevail in relatively comfortable fashion, thus keeping the match short and at a minimal number of games. 4 of the Pole’s 5 matches so far at Wimbledon have featured no more than 20 games. Swiatek dropped 1 set to Caty McNally but then powered through the next 2 by a 6-2, 6-1 scoreline. The former world #1 has otherwise cruised. Yes, she has even been dominant — not something we are used to seeing from her on grass. But it’s not like this has come out of nowhere. She reached the Bad Homburg final earlier this month before falling to Jessica Pegula.
As for the head-to-head series with Bencic, Swiatek leads it 3-1 — including 1-0 at Wimbledon. 2 of her 3 wins have come in straight sets. The 5-time Grand Slam champion should be in line for another comprehensive victory on Thursday. Bencic is coming off 3 very difficult matches against Elisabetta Cocciaretto (3rd-set tiebreaker), Ekaterina Alexandrova and Mirra Andreeva. Now the Swiss veteran has zero days off before facing Swiatek.
Aryna Sabalenka +0.5 aces vs Amanda Anisimova (-115)
Through 5 matches at the All-England Club, Anisimova has hit 21 aces (0.38 per game) to Sabalenka’s 20 (0.36 per game). Those numbers might as well be a wash. What isn’t a wash is the head-to-head — and that’s where the statistics are much more important and much more telling.
In 8 encounters, Sabalenka has blasted 37 aces; Anisimova has struck just 21. Their most recent meeting came last month at Roland Garros, where the world #1 recorded 11 aces to her opponent’s 3. There really isn’t any reason to overthink this one. Sabalenka is the biggest server in women’s tennis. Asking her to merely equal Anisimova in the ace department should not be too much, and I would also play her at plus-money odds to hit more aces than the American.
You can get great odds on both Wimbledon women’s singles matches today with BetMGM, where new users can click here to sign up now and receive $150 in bonus bets if their first $10 wager is a winner!
