Caleb Wilfinger
The WNBA season is in full swing and we’ve got a couple of compelling matchups to get excited for on Tuesday. Caitlin Clark and the Indiana Fever will take center stage against the Connecticut Sun, and that game will be followed by what should be a very competitive contest between the Washington Mystics and Los Angeles Sparks. Let’s dive into our expert’s WNBA best bets for Tuesday, July 15, while you can also find out our early NBA Championship best bets for the upcoming 2025-26 season.
WNBA best bet: Indiana Fever -15.5 over Connecticut Sun (-108)
Odds available at FanDuel Sportsbook at time of publishing. Playable at that number.
This is a massive number, but it’s hard not to back the Fever in this game given what we know about both teams. For starters, Connecticut is an absolute mess on both sides of the ball. In fact, the Sun are currently dead last in both offensive and defensive rating through 21 games, while registering just 3 wins in those contests. And when Connecticut loses, it tends to drop games by double digits, as 10 of its last 13 defeats have come by at least 10 points, with most of them exceeding this number. Just one month ago, the Sun fell by 17 points to a Fever team that wasn’t even playing its best basketball at the time. We can expect a repeat performance on Tuesday, especially now that Indiana has settled into a groove in recent games.
The sophomore season has been an up-and-down campaign for Caitlin Clark, but she and the Indiana offense (3rd in offensive rating) seemingly turned a corner recently, as the Fever have racked up 102 and 99 points respectively over their last 2 games. They should keep on rolling on Tuesday against a Sun defense that is last in the league in points allowed per game and is playing this game just 48 hours after being on the West Coast for a road trip over the weekend. Given that Indiana consistently pushes the pace and looks to score in transition, we could certainly see some tired legs for Connecticut once the 2nd half hits. Given that veteran guard Marina Mabrey is still out, the Sun just don’t have the offensive firepower to keep up with the Fever. I’m expecting a blowout on Tuesday.
WNBA best bet: Washington Mystics ML over Los Angeles Sparks (-105)
Odds available at ESPNBET Sportsbook at time of publishing. Playable to -115.
The Mystics have flipped from a short underdog to a favorite overnight, and I’m inclined to agree with the market on this move. Winners of 7 of their last 10 games, the Mystics are playing extremely well at the moment and have vaulted themselves back into playoff positioning in the Eastern Conference. There are some impressive victories in that stretch as well, including a win over the top-seeded Minnesota Lynx, along with wins over the Las Vegas Aces and Seattle Storm. The lowly Sparks are surely a step down in class by comparison, as Los Angeles is just 3-7 over its last 10 games, while also sporting one of the worst records in the league.
The Sparks are at home, but this is not much of a travel edge for Los Angeles in this game, given that the Mystics were just in Seattle on Sunday. Furthermore, the Sparks are just 2-8 at home on the season and needed a late 2nd-half rally to knock off the Sun over the weekend. With Cameron Brink out of the lineup this season, Los Angeles’ defense has arguably been the worst in the league, as the Sparks are allowing the 2nd-most points per game while sitting at 12th in defensive rating.
The Mystics aren’t a great offense by any means, but any team can score on this porous Sparks defense, and a fundamentally sound team like Washington instantly has a leg up in a matchup like this. The Mystics also boast a strong defense of their own, so I don’t suspect Los Angeles’ offense will do all that much on Tuesday.
