Dak's attack is just so much different at home than it is on the road. AT&T Stadium is longer than the Empire State Building is tall, from side to side, and I’m sure it’s hard to duplicate the energy that must come from tens of thousands of fans screaming in support. Dak averages nearly 30 more passing yards per game and owns a passer rating over 10 points higher at AT&T Stadium. His receivers seem to prefer it there, too. CeeDee Lamb, for example, averaged 119.4 yards per game at home in 2024, while his 13.6 yards per reception in Dallas was 3.1 yards higher than his success on the road in 2025. George Pickens averaged 95 yards per home game last year versus 74.3 on the road, too. I think it’s fair to say that they are better at home, and that it will make a difference when the Commanders come to Dallas on Sunday.
Washington showed plenty of resilience in its comeback effort against the Eagles, rallying in the fourth quarter and coming within a failed two-point conversion of tying the game seconds before the clock ran out. That performance demonstrated Jayden Daniels' ability to fight until the very end and to stay competitive overall, but he’ll likely see more of the same frustration in Dallas.
Both teams were let down by their defenses in Week 1, with each unit struggling to get key stops and allowing their opponents to move the ball too easily. Still, both defenses have the talent to respond this Sunday, with the Cowboys likely having the edge as the home team, even with the injuries to Hooker and Overshown. I think we see a complete bounce-back from Dallas and I see them winning by at least a touchdown.
Cowboys vs Commanders prediction: Cowboys -4 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -6.
