New York Islanders vs Tampa Bay Lightning Prediction, Odds and Picks for Today, 12/06/25

The Islanders and Lightning played this past week in a game that New York won 2-1. That victory is part of a stretch in which the under has hit in 9 out of the Islanders’ last 11 games. The total has stayed under in 7 of their last 8 on the road. Unsurprisingly, the Islanders rank ninth in the NHL in goals allowed per game and they rank seventh on the penalty kill. Those metrics and recent trends give appeal to the under.

As strong as the Islanders are at keeping the puck out of the net, the Lightning are just a bit better. Tampa Bay ranks sixth in the league in goals allowed per game and boasts the best penalty kill in the NHL. Anchored by a goaltender that has won a Vezina Trophy and 2 Stanley Cups, it is easy to see why the Lightning would build their game around a strength of goal prevention. These are a couple of good teams that will lean on their strengths to compete. With that, the under has a good chance yet again.

Islanders vs Lightning prediction: Under 6.0 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable at that number.

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