NHL Parlays

Avalanche vs Wild parlay pick: Avalanche ML (-130)

The 5-1 final in favor of Minnesota in game 3 was Colorado’s first loss of this postseason. We don’t know yet how the Avalanche team will respond after a loss, as this is the first such situation in these playoffs. What we do have is a large sample size from the regular season. The Avalanche have not lost consecutive games since March 18th, which spans 23 games. Granted, this is a much different situation than the last month of a regular season. But Colorado would not have started these Stanley Cup playoffs 6-0 if they did not have the ability to beat any team in any situation. 

While the Avalanche do have a strong bounce-back ability, they also have more margin for error. The 2-0 series lead they built up still puts more pressure on the Wild in this game. Colorado can play more free than Minnesota as they still have one more loss to play with. The hockey world has seen what the Avalanche can do when they play free. One more factor that could neutralize Minnesota’s home-ice advantage is Colorado’s strong road form. The Avalanche are now 31-8-5 on the road this year which is better than the Wild’s 26-10-9 home record. The Avalanche are focused on a bounce back and are a tough fade.

Avalanche vs Wild parlay pick: Over 6.5 (-102)

Both teams have feasted offensively at some point in this series. In game 1, it happened in the same game. There have now been 28 goals scored in the 3 games played in this series, obviously carried by the 15 goals scored in game 1. Nonetheless, the average game total in this series is 9.33 goals. That now makes 4 overs in each team’s last 5 games, which contributes to a 50-37-4 over under record in Wild games this year. High totals are not exactly a shock when the Avalanche play, either. 

Colorado scored the most goals per game in the NHL during the regular season, including the most goals scored 5 on 5. In these playoffs, the Wild have scored the T-most goals 5 on 5, and the Avalanche have scored the T-most goals per game overall. Regardless of team goal prevention strengths, the over is always going to have appeal in a game with Nathan MacKinnon, Cale Makar, Martin Nečas, Kirill Kaprizov, Matt Boldy, Quinn Hughes, and more. Those 6 players alone had a combined 205 goals and 554 points in 461 regular season games this year. In the postseason, they have 61 points in 48 games played. That does not even factor several other productive players on these teams. The over looks good as part of this parlay.

Avalanche vs Wild SGP pick: Nazem Kadri over 0.5 points (-120)

One such productive player not mentioned among those superstars is Colorado’s Nazem Kadri. Kadri was a key piece of the Stanley Cup run for the Avalanche when they won in 2022. After a couple years with Calgary, Colorado brought him back this year for a deep run. Or at least, what they hope is a deep run. Kadri enters this game with points in 4 consecutive games, which now gives him 20 goals and 49 points in 59 career playoff games. That is an 82-game average of 28 goals and 68 points, both of which are higher than his career regular season 82-game averages of 25 goals and 59 points. The bigger the game gets, the more effective Kadri becomes.

It certainly does not hurt that Kadri shares the ice with the likes of MacKinnon, Makar, Nečas, Gabriel Landeskog, Devon Toews, and more. Any player placed on this roster will seemingly automatically get a bump in production, or at least the opportunities for a bump in production. Kadri is no exception. When he was on Colorado in their 2022 Stanley Cup season, Kadri had the best season of his career with 28 goals, 87 points, and a +13 rating. That was complemented by a 7-goal, 15 point playoff in 16 games played. Kadri is right at home and producing yet again in a postseason while wearing an Avalanche jersey. This prop adds nice value to the parlay.