UFC Picks

Pickswise is the number 1 site for free expert UFC Picks across all of the main event and fight night cards, every weekend. Our dedicated MMA handicapping team includes some of the best in the business with decades of experience handicapping MMA, and a long and successful track record with their picks.

There’s a new sport of kings and the popularity of mixed martial arts is largely being driven by the UFC. In the most straightforward terms, Our UFC picks involve picking who will be the winner of each fight on a certain card. There are dozens of other ways to wager on MMA fighting, and we’re on hand to find the best value MMA picks every week. Check out our handy expert guides below for more on how and where to bet on the UFC.

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Bet Type
Experts
Confidence Rating
Money Line Pick
Tulio Win(-185)

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 73 will see Christian Leroy Duncan take on Marco Tulio. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Duncan enters this fight with an MMA record of 12-2 and 5-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.83 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 59%. Duncan absorbs 2.94 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling has not been strong, averaging just 0.22 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 11% and his takedown defense is 71%.

Tulio enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-1 and 4-0 in the UFC. He averages 7.54 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 60%. Tulio absorbs 2.53 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. His grappling has been decent at best, averaging 0.88 takedowns every 15 minutes.

Tulio is the heavy favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the best betting option. He has superior striking volume, while also having never lost in the UFC. Further, his grappling is also better; therefore, backing Tulio to win will be our play.

Matthew Lowrimore
Money Line Pick
Simon Win(-175)

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 73 will see Ricky Simon take on Raoni Barcelos. This will be a fight in the UFC Bantamweight division. Simon enters this fight with an MMA record of 22-6 and 11-5 in the UFC. He averages 2.93 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 44%. Simon absorbs 3.72 strikes and has a striking defense of 61%. His grappling has been elite in the UFC, averaging 5.01 takedowns every 15 minutes. Simon has a takedown accuracy of 43% and a takedown defense of 75%.

Barcelos enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-5 and 9-4 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.87 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 52%. Barcelos absorbs 4.40 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling has been solid as well, averaging 2.33 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 33% and a takedown defense of 85%.

Simon is the clear favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the best betting option. He has the clear advantage in grappling and is 5-3 in his last 8 UFC fights, compared to Barcelos, who is 4-4 over the same stretch. Therefore, given the form of both fighters, backing Simon to win will be our play.

Matthew Lowrimore
Money Line Pick
Padilla Win(+164)

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 73 will see Chris Padilla take on Ismael Bonfim. This will be a fight in the UFC Lightweight division. Padilla enters this fight with a record of 16-6 and 3-0 in the UFC. He averages 4.13 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 51%. Padilla absorbs 3.68 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.56 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 30% and a takedown defense of 100%.

Bonfim enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-5 and 3-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.73 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 55%. Budka is absorbing 3.10 strikes and has a striking defense of 70%. His grappling has also been decent, averaging 0.96 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 33% and his takedown defense is 76%.

Bonfim is the heavy favorite in this fight, but has been inconsistent recently, making Padilla a decent upset pick. Padilla has yet to lose in the UFC, and while his striking volume does not stack up to Bonfim’s, his grappling is superior. Given the form of both fighters, backing Padilla to win will be our play.

Matthew Lowrimore
Money Line Pick
Medic Win(-162)

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 73 will see Muslim Salikhov take on Uros Medic. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Salikhov enters this fight with an MMA record of 22-5 and 9-4 in the UFC. He averages 3.39 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. Salikhov absorbs 2.92 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.08 takedowns every 15 minutes. Salikhov has a takedown accuracy of 32% and a takedown defense of 72%.

Medic enters this fight with an MMA record of 11-3 and 6-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.47 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 60%. Medic is absorbing 3.50 strikes and has a striking defense of 56%. His grappling has not been strong, averaging 0.36 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 55%.

While Medic is the clear favorite in this fight, he still looks to be the best betting option. Medic has superior striking volume and has won 6 times in the UFC by KO/TKO. Both Medic and Salikhov are 4-2 in their last 6 UFC fights, so because Medic has shown much more power with his striking, backing Medic to win will be our play.

Matthew Lowrimore
Fight Prop Pick
Fight to go the Distance - No(-210)

The Co-Main Event at UFC on ESPN 73 will see Matt Schnell take on Joseph Morales. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division. Schnell comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-9 and 7-7 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.13 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 40%. Schnell is absorbing 4.17 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. His grappling is not nearly as strong, averaging just 0.49 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.2 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 40% and a takedown defense of 43%.

Morales enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-2 and 2-2 in the UFC. He averages 2.02 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 40%. Morales absorbs 2.11 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. His grappling has been solid, averaging 1.23 takedowns every 15 minutes and 2.9 submission attempts during the same period. Morales has a takedown accuracy of 42% and a takedown defense of 28%.

For this fight, we will be targeting it to end inside the distance. Schnell has seen 5 of his last 6 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Morales has seen 3 of his 4 UFC fights do the same. Because both fighters have seen the majority of their recent fights end inside the distance, backing the same here will be our play.

Matthew Lowrimore
Money Line Pick
Bonfim Win(-175)

The Main Event at UFC on ESPN 73 will see Gabriel Bonfim take on Randy Brown. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Bonfim enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-1 and 6-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.54 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. Bonfim is absorbing 3.53 strikes and has a striking defense of 63%. His grappling has also been elite, averaging 4.03 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.6 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 55% and his takedown defense is 76%.

Brown enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-6 and 14-6 in the UFC. He averages 4.47 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. Brown is absorbing 3.26 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 54%. His grappling has been decent, averaging 0.79 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 39%, and his takedown defense is 73%.

Bonfim is the heavy favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the best betting option. He has a slight advantage in striking volume and a clear advantage in grappling. For that reason, backing Bonfim to win will be our play.

Matthew Lowrimore

UFC Picks Explained

There are many different types of UFC picks, with countless ways to bet on this weekend’s UFC action. As with most sports, the easiest and simplest form of UFC pick is the Moneyline. A UFC Moneyline pick is a pick on who you think will win the fight, the method is irrelevant, be it TKO/KO, submission, or on the judge’s scorecard, whoever has their arm raised is the Moneyline winner. Other popular UFC Picks include the Method Of Victory and an over/under on the number of rounds the fight will last. Aside from these, there are many other props available ranging from Strikes Landed, Number Of Takedowns, or Will The Fight Go The Distance. Here at Pickswise, our expert UFC handicappers are on hand to find the best UFC Picks for all of this week’s action. Check out our latest UFC Picks above. 

UFC Picks Tonight 

The UFC always puts on a great show and a big card each weekend. And come fight night everyone is searching for the best UFC picks tonight. With so many fights on any given card, and odds available on the Early Prelims, the Preliminary Card, and the Main Card, it is hard to research them all and even the avid UFC fan will not know all of the fighters. Here at Pickswise, we have some of the best UFC handicappers around, who live and breathe all things UFC. Our level of expertise is what separates us from the rest. Our handicappers leave no stone unturned and provide an in-depth fight preview with the key stats and information ahead of each fight and all of our UFC Picks. Check out all of tonight’s UFC picks, now. 

Feb 8, 2020; Houston, Texas, USA; Jon Jones (red gloves) fights Dominick Reyes (not pictured) during UFC 247 at Toyota Center.

UFC Pick Em

A UFC Pick Em can mean one of two things, either the sportsbooks have each fighter with the same odds, a bit like in the NFL, when the spread is 0, or it could mean a contest whereby you have to pick the winner of each fight, in effect the Moneyline winner. Our UFC picks and the insight and analysis in particular that we offer alongside them can be used in both of these circumstances. We offer our experts’ view on the fight including the outcome, including those Moneyline UFC pick-em spots, and also on all of the other top UFC action. With our in-depth previews and picks, you can also use these as the basis for your UFC Pick Em contest too. Whatever you need, Pickswise will have you covered with all things UFC, from the best picks to the latest UFC betting news. We help you to Bet better. 

UFC DFS Picks

Our UFC picks are also great for your UFC DFS picks. Each of our picks, which gives our idea of the winner, comes with key stats and analysis as to why we like a certain fighter in that spot. These stats and strategies can be used to maximize the points your get in your UFC DFS contest. With points scored for strikes, takedowns, finishes, and more, all of this will be found in our previews, along with the fighters’ previous fight stats for all of those categories. Check out this week’s UFC picks today to help you win your UFC DFS contest

When Are Your UFC Picks Posted

Our UFC Picks are typically posted just after the weigh-ins which usually take place the day before the fight. Waiting until this point allows us to maximize the information we can obtain from the Fight Week clues. One of the UFC’s biggest strengths as an organization and a big proponent of its success is the access in which it gives the media surrounding an event. Both fighters will be made available to the media on fight week and as are the weigh-ins. In both of these instances, you can get both physical and verbal clues as to how the fighter’s camp, weight cut, and preparation have gone over the previous 6-8 weeks. Of course, a fighter isn’t going to give his or her game plan away in its entirety, but even slight clues in their answers, or seeing the shape they are in at the weigh-in can be performance indicators for the weekend. All of this is considered right up until the time we post our picks, as we want to ensure we have all of the available information to make the most informed and best free UFC picks out there.

MMA Predictions and MMA Picks

The emergence of the UFC has done wonders for Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) with peak UFC fights drawing in audiences in their millions, from around the world.  The UFC is the pinnacle of MMA and our experts follow MMA institutions from around the world and already know a great deal about fighters that secure that big move into the UFC. The UFC is such a large institution, hosting MMA fight cards almost weekly throughout the year, and with a large number of fights, our MMA picks solely focus on these UFC events. Our MMA Picks will largely focus on the main markets of the fights with Moneyline MMA picks and Method of Victory markets which can offer considerably greater odds than a Moneyline wager. We provide a detailed rundown of the fighters, and how we see the fights shaping up, taking the various MMA disciplines into consideration in finding the best MMA picks on the card.  Our MMA picks will be posted in good time before fight night so you can digest our fight-by-fight analysis and best MMA picks this week.

Unsure where to wager on the UFC? Check out our full UFC Betting Guide for our best UFC sportsbooks, along with our Online Sportsbook Reviews, where we detail everything you need to know about all of the top online sportsbooks, including the best bonuses and promo codes for new customers.

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