UFC Picks

Pickswise is the number 1 site for free expert UFC Picks across all of the main event and fight night cards, every weekend. Our dedicated MMA handicapping team includes some of the best in the business with decades of experience handicapping MMA, and a long and successful track record with their picks.

There’s a new sport of kings and the popularity of mixed martial arts is largely being driven by the UFC. In the most straightforward terms, Our UFC picks involve picking who will be the winner of each fight on a certain card. There are dozens of other ways to wager on MMA fighting, and we’re on hand to find the best value MMA picks every week. Check out our handy expert guides below for more on how and where to bet on the UFC.

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7:00 PM ETToday

1 Pick

UFC on ESPN 55: Tim Means vs. Uros Medic

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Round Prop Pick

Fight to Start Round 2UFC on ESPN 55: Tim Means vs. Uros Medic

Reasoning

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 55 will see Tim Means take on Uros Medic. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Means comes into this fight with an MMA record of 33-15-1 and he is 15-12 in the UFC. Means is averaging 5.10 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. Means is absorbing 3.65 strikes and has a striking defense of 60%. As for his grappling, Means has been decent. He is averaging 1.16 takedowns per every 15 minutes and has a takedown accuracy of 42%. His takedown defense is 65%.

Medic comes into this fight with an MMA record of 9-2 and he is 4-2 in the UFC. Medic is averaging 5.64 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 60%. He is absorbing 3.18 strikes and has a striking defense of 58%. His grappling is decent at best, averaging 0.40 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Medic has a takedown accuracy of 100% and a takedown defense of 46%.

Medic is the overwhelming favorite, so instead we will just be looking for this fight to start round 2. Means has seen his last 8 fights in a row enter at least the second round, while Medic has seen his last 3 fights in a row do the same. Because of this, backing this fight to start round 2 will be our lean.

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$14.00

Matthew Lowrimore

7:30 PM ETToday

1 Pick

UFC on ESPN 55: David Onama vs. Jonathan Pearce

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Fight Prop Pick

Fight to go the Distance - NoUFC on ESPN 55: David Onama vs. Jonathan Pearce

Reasoning

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 55 will see David Onama take on Jonathan Pearce. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Onama comes into this fight with an MMA record of 11-2 and he is 3-2 in the UFC. Onama is averaging 5.38 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. He is absorbing 5.48 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling has been decent, averaging 0.87 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Onama has a takedown accuracy of 18% and his takedown defense is 45%.

Pearce comes into this fight with an MMA record of 14-5 and he is 6-2 in the UFC. Pearce is averaging 5.60 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 56%. He is absorbing 3.35 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. His grappling has been elite so far in the UFC, averaging 5.29 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 0.8 submission attempts during the same time period. He has a takedown accuracy of 53% and a takedown defense of 56%.

Pearce is the heavy favorite in this fight, but instead of backing him or Onama on the money line, we will be looking for this fight to end inside the distance. Onama has seen 11 of his 13 career fights end inside the distance, while Pearce has seen 15 of his 19 fights do the same. Because both fighters have a high finish rate, backing this fight to end inside the distance will be our best bet.

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$31.40

Matthew Lowrimore

8:00 PM ETToday

1 Pick

UFC on ESPN 55: Austen Lane vs. Jhonata Diniz

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Method of Victory Pick

Diniz Win by KO/TKOUFC on ESPN 55: Austen Lane vs. Jhonata Diniz

Reasoning

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 55 will see Austen Lane take on Jhonata Diniz. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division. Lane comes into this fight with an MMA record of 12-4 and is 1-2 in the UFC. Lane is averaging 4.48 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 47%. He is absorbing 2.85 strikes and has a striking defense of 48%.

Diniz comes into this fight with an MMA record of 6-0 and he is 1-0 in the UFC. However, this will also be his official UFC debut. Diniz is averaging 7.69 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 42%. He is absorbing 7.38 strikes and has a striking defense of 36%. He also has a takedown defense of 100%.

Diniz is the overwhelming favorite in this fight, but instead of backing him on the money line, we will be looking at a method of victory prop. Diniz has won all of career fights by KO/TKO, while Lane has four losses by KO/TKO, including his most recent fight. Based on that, backing Diniz to win by KO/TKO will be our lean.

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$30.00

Matthew Lowrimore

8:30 PM ETToday

1 Pick

UFC on ESPN 55: Ariane Lipski vs. Karine Silva

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Money Line Pick

Silva WinUFC on ESPN 55: Ariane Lipski vs. Karine Silva

Reasoning

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 55 will see Ariane Lipski take on Karine Silva. This will be a fight in the UFC Women’s Flyweight division. Lipski comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-8 and she is 6-5 in the UFC. Lipski is averaging 4.27 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 40%. She is absorbing 4.23 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. Her grappling is not as good, averaging just 0.64 takedowns per every 15 minutes. Her takedown accuracy is 55% and her takedown defense is 79%.

Silva comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-4 and she is 4-0 in the UFC. Silva is averaging 3.37 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 35%. She is absorbing 3.37 strikes and has a striking defense of 50%. Her grappling has also been solid, averaging 2.45 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 4.1 submission attempts during the same time period. Silva also has a takedown accuracy of 60%.

Silva is the moderate-sized favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the right side. Lipski has proven to be inconsistent in the UFC, while Silva has a perfect UFC record and has overall won 8 fights in a row. Because Silva has been in much better form, backing her to win will be our best bet.

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$33.60

Matthew Lowrimore

9:00 PM ETToday

1 Pick

UFC on ESPN 55: Ryan Spann vs. Bogdan Guskov

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Fight Prop Pick

Fight to End in Round 1UFC on ESPN 55: Ryan Spann vs. Bogdan Guskov

Reasoning

The Co-Main Event at UFC on ESPN 55 will see Ryan Spann take on Bogdan Guskov. This will be a fight in the UFC Light Heavyweight division. Spann comes into this fight with an MMA record of 21-9 and he is 8-5 in the UFC. Spann is averaging 3.42 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 40%. He is absorbing 3.91 strikes and has a striking defense of 45%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.29 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.5 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 35% and his takedown defense is 47%.

Guskov comes into this fight with an MMA record of 15-3 and he is 1-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.43 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 33%. Guskov is absorbing 5.81 strikes and has a striking defense of 40%. He has shown no grappling ability in the UFC so far, but has a takedown defense of 66%.

Spann is the clear favorite in this fight, but has also been inconsistent recently, losing his last 2 UFC fights in a row. Instead, we will be looking for this fight to end in round 1. Spann has seen 6 of his last 7 UFC fights end in the first round, while Guskov has seen each of his last 7 fights end in round 1, including both of his UFC fights. Because both of these fights are known for quick fights, backing this fight to end in round 1 will be our lean.

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$15.30

Matthew Lowrimore

9:30 PM ETToday

1 Pick

UFC on ESPN 55: Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez

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Money Line Pick

Nicolau WinUFC on ESPN 55: Matheus Nicolau vs. Alex Perez

Reasoning

The Main Event at UFC on ESPN 55 will see Matheus Nicolau take on Alex Perez. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division. Nicolau comes into this fight with an MMA record of 19-4-1 and he is 7-2 in the UFC. Nicolau is averaging 3.66 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 53%. Nicolau is absorbing 3.14 strikes and has a striking defense of 66%. His grappling also looks to be solid, averaging 1.48 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 0.9 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 45% and his takedown defense is 93%.

Perez comes into this fight with an MMA record of 24-8 and he is 7-4 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.12 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. He is absorbing 3.14 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%. His grappling is also very good, averaging 2.26 takedowns per every 15 minutes and 1.0 submission attempts during the same time period. His takedown accuracy is 44% and his takedown defense is 82%.

Nicolau is the heavy favorite in this fight, but even with that being the case, he looks to be worth backing. Nicolau has won 4 of his last 5 fights in the UFC, while Perez has lost 3 UFC fights in a row. Because Nicolau is in much better form, backing him to win will be our lean.

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$15.20

Matthew Lowrimore

UFC Video

UFC Picks Explained

There are many different types of UFC picks, with countless ways to bet on this weekend’s UFC action. As with most sports, the easiest and simplest form of UFC pick is the Moneyline. A UFC Moneyline pick is a pick on who you think will win the fight, the method is irrelevant, be it TKO/KO, submission, or on the judge’s scorecard, whoever has their arm raised is the Moneyline winner. Other popular UFC Picks include the Method Of Victory and an over/under on the number of rounds the fight will last. Aside from these, there are many other props available ranging from Strikes Landed, Number Of Takedowns, or Will The Fight Go The Distance. Here at Pickswise, our expert UFC handicappers are on hand to find the best UFC Picks for all of this week’s action. Check out our latest UFC Picks above.

UFC Picks Tonight

The UFC always puts on a great show and a big card each weekend. And come fight night everyone is searching for the best UFC picks tonight. With so many fights on any given card, and odds available on the Early Prelims, the Preliminary Card, and the Main Card, it is hard to research them all and even the avid UFC fan will not know all of the fighters. Here at Pickswise, we have some of the best UFC handicappers around, who live and breathe all things UFC. Our level of expertise is what separates us from the rest. Our handicappers leave no stone unturned and provide an in-depth fight preview with the key stats and information ahead of each fight and all of our UFC Picks. Check out all of tonight’s UFC picks, now.

UFC Pick Em

A UFC Pick Em can mean one of two things, either the sportsbooks have each fighter with the same odds, a bit like in the NFL, when the spread is 0, or it could mean a contest whereby you have to pick the winner of each fight, in effect the Moneyline winner. Our UFC picks and the insight and analysis in particular that we offer alongside them can be used in both of these circumstances. We offer our experts’ view on the fight including the outcome, including those Moneyline UFC pick-em spots, and also on all of the other top UFC action. With our in-depth previews and picks, you can also use these as the basis for your UFC Pick Em contest too. Whatever you need, Pickswise will have you covered with all things UFC, from the best picks to the latest UFC betting news. We help you to Bet better.

UFC DFS Picks

Our UFC picks are also great for your UFC DFS picks. Each of our picks, which gives our idea of the winner, comes with key stats and analysis as to why we like a certain fighter in that spot. These stats and strategies can be used to maximize the points your get in your UFC DFS contest. With points scored for strikes, takedowns, finishes, and more, all of this will be found in our previews, along with the fighters’ previous fight stats for all of those categories. Check out this week’s UFC picks today to help you win your UFC DFS contest

When Are Your UFC Picks Posted

Our UFC Picks are typically posted just after the weigh-ins which usually take place the day before the fight. Waiting until this point allows us to maximize the information we can obtain from the Fight Week clues. One of the UFC’s biggest strengths as an organization and a big proponent of its success is the access in which it gives the media surrounding an event. Both fighters will be made available to the media on fight week and as are the weigh-ins. In both of these instances, you can get both physical and verbal clues as to how the fighter’s camp, weight cut, and preparation have gone over the previous 6-8 weeks. Of course, a fighter isn’t going to give his or her game plan away in its entirety, but even slight clues in their answers, or seeing the shape they are in at the weigh-in can be performance indicators for the weekend. All of this is considered right up until the time we post our picks, as we want to ensure we have all of the available information to make the most informed and best free UFC picks out there.

MMA Predictions and MMA Picks

The emergence of the UFC has done wonders for Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) with peak UFC fights drawing in audiences in their millions, from around the world. The UFC is the pinnacle of MMA and our experts follow MMA institutions from around the world and already know a great deal about fighters that secure that big move into the UFC. The UFC is such a large institution, hosting MMA fight cards almost weekly throughout the year, and with a large number of fights, our MMA picks solely focus on these UFC events. Our MMA Picks will largely focus on the main markets of the fights with Moneyline MMA picks and Method of Victory markets which can offer considerably greater odds than a Moneyline wager. We provide a detailed rundown of the fighters, and how we see the fights shaping up, taking the various MMA disciplines into consideration in finding the best MMA picks on the card. Our MMA picks will be posted in good time before fight night so you can digest our fight-by-fight analysis and best MMA picks this week.

Unsure where to wager on the UFC? Check out our full UFC Betting Guide for our best UFC sportsbooks, along with our Online Sportsbook Reviews, where we detail everything you need to know about all of the top online sportsbooks, including the best bonuses and promo codes for new customers.