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UFC Picks

Pickswise is the number 1 site for free expert UFC Picks across all of the main event and fight night cards, every weekend. Our dedicated MMA handicapping team includes some of the best in the business with decades of experience handicapping MMA, and a long and successful track record with their picks.

There’s a new sport of kings and the popularity of mixed martial arts is largely being driven by the UFC. In the most straightforward terms, Our UFC picks involve picking who will be the winner of each fight on a certain card. There are dozens of other ways to wager on MMA fighting, and we’re on hand to find the best value MMA picks every week. Check out our handy expert guides below for more on how and where to bet on the UFC.

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Experts
Confidence Rating
Sat Dec 13
Sat Dec 13
1 Pick
UFC on ESPN 73: King Green vs. Lance Gibson Jr.
View Prediction
Money Line Pick
Green Win(-218)

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 73 will see King Green take on Lance Gibson Jr. This will be a fight in the UFC Catch Weight division. Green enters this fight with an MMA record of 32-17-1 and 17-14-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 6.40 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 52%. Green is absorbing 3.72 strikes and has a striking defense of 62%. His grappling has been decent throughout his career, averaging 1.22 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 39% and a takedown defense of 74%.

Gibson Jr. enters this fight with an MMA record of 9-1, and this will be his UFC debut. He has won 7 times by finish in his career, which includes 4 wins by KO/TKO, and 3 wins by submission.

Green is the significant favorite, but still looks to be the best betting option. As mentioned, Gibson Jr. has never fought in the UFC, while Green is a UFC veteran. He is an excellent striker as well; therefore, backing Green to win will be our lean

BET -218 NOW WITH
Matthew Lowrimore
Sat Dec 13
Sat Dec 13
1 Pick
UFC on ESPN 73: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Marcus Buchecha
View Prediction
Money Line Pick
Nzechukwu Win(-130)

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 73 will see Kennedy Nzechukwu take on Marcus Buchecha. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division. Nzechukwu enters this fight with an MMA record of 14-6 and 10-6 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.33 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. Nzechukwu absorbs 4.89 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling is decent at best, averaging 0.55 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 45% and a takedown defense of 80%.

Buchecha enters this fight with an MMA record of 5-2 and 0-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 1.60 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 40%. Buchecha absorbs 2.73 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. His grappling is solid, averaging 1.00 takedowns every 15 minutes. However, he has a takedown accuracy of 9%.

Nzechukwu is the slim favorite in this fight, but still looks to be the best betting option. For once, he is a much more experienced UFC fighter, while Buchecha has just 1 UFC fight. Further, Nzechukwu has a significant advantage in striking volume. Therefore, even though Nzechukwu has not been in the best form, backing him to win will be our play.

BET -130 NOW WITH
Matthew Lowrimore
Sat Dec 13
Sat Dec 13
1 Pick
UFC on ESPN 73: Melquizael Costa vs. Morgan Charriere
View Prediction
Money Line Pick
Costa Win(-112)

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 73 will see Melquizael Costa take on Morgan Charriere. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Costa enters this fight with an MMA record of 24-7 and 5-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.44 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. Costa absorbs 3.09 strikes and has a striking defense of 54%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 1.96 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.2 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 38% and a takedown defense of 58%.

Charriere enters this fight with an MMA record of 21-11-1 and 3-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.08 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Charriere is absorbing 4.54 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 2.11 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 46% and a takedown defense of 83%.

This fight is evenly matched, with Costa set as the small favorite. That being said, he still looks to be the best betting option. Costa has a slight advantage in striking volume, plus is in much better form compared to Charriere. For that reason, backing Costa to win will be our play.

BET -112 NOW WITH
Matthew Lowrimore
Sat Dec 13
Sat Dec 13
1 Pick
UFC on ESPN 73: Cesar Almeida vs. Cezary Oleksiejczuk
View Prediction
Money Line Pick
Oleksiejczuk Win(-218)

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 73 will see Cesar Almeida take on Cezary Oleksiejczuk. This will be a fight in the UFC Middleweight division. Almeida enters this fight with an MMA record of 7-1 and 4-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.16 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 58% Almeida absorbs 2.32 strikes and has a striking defense of 48%. He has shown no grappling ability in the UFC so far, but has a takedown of 60%.

Oleksiejczuk enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-3 and 1-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 28.33 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 100% Almeida absorbs 0.00 strikes and has a striking defense of 100%. He has shown no grappling ability in the UFC so far, but has a takedown of 100%.

Oleksiejczuk is the heavy favorite in this fight, even though he will be making his official UFC debut. He was more than impressive in his previous fight, winning in the first round while not absorbing a single strike from his opponent. Almeida, on the other hand, is in solid form; however, with Oleksiejczuk having already showcased his striking ability, backing him to win will be our lean.

BET -218 NOW WITH
Matthew Lowrimore
Sun Dec 14
Sun Dec 14
1 Pick
UFC on ESPN 73: Giga Chikadze vs. Kevin Vallejos
View Prediction
Fight Prop Pick
Fight to go the Distance - Yes(-125)

The Co-Main Event at UFC on ESPN 73 will see Giga Chikadze take on Kevin Vallejos. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Chikadze enters this fight with an MMA record of 15-5 and 8-4 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.82 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 42%. Chikadze is absorbing 3.48 strikes per minute and has a striking defense of 60%. His grappling has not been strong, averaging 0.19 takedowns every 15 minutes. Further, he has a takedown accuracy of 33% and a takedown defense of 65%.

Vallejos enters this fight with an MMA record of 16-1 and 3-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 6.28 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. Vallejos is absorbing 5.23 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. He has been a decent grappler, averaging 0.84 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 33% and his takedown defense is 83%.

Vallejos is the significant favorite; therefore, we will be targeting this fight to go the distance. Chikadze is 1-3 in his last 4 UFC fights; however, all 4 of these fights went the distance. As for Vallejos, he has seen 2 of his 4 UFC fights go the distance. With Chikadze having been able to go the distance in several of his recent fights, backing this fight to go the distance will be our play.

BET -125 NOW WITH
Matthew Lowrimore
Sun Dec 14
Sun Dec 14
1 Pick
UFC on ESPN 73: Brandon Royval vs. Manel Kape
View Prediction
Fight Prop Pick
Fight to go the Distance - No(-165)

The Main Event at UFC on ESPN 73 will see Brandon Royval take on Manel Kape. This will be a fight in the UFC Flyweight division. Royval enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-8 and 7-4 in the UFC. He averages 5.55 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 41%. Royval absorbs 4.23 strikes and has a striking defense of 43%. His grappling is decent at best, averaging 0.67 takedowns every 15 minutes and 1.1 submission attempts during the same period. Royval has a takedown accuracy of 75% and a takedown defense of 45%.

Kape enters this fight with an MMA record of 21-7 and 6-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.04 strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 55%. Kape is absorbing 4.05 strikes and has a striking defense of 57%. His grappling has not been very good, averaging just 0.42 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 30% and a takedown defense of 81%.

Kape is the heavy favorite in this fight; therefore, we will be targeting this fight to end inside the distance. Royval has seen 6 of his 11 UFC fights end inside the distance, while Kape has seen his last 2 UFC fights end inside the distance. With that, backing this fight to also end inside the distance will be our lean.

BET -165 NOW WITH
Matthew Lowrimore

UFC Picks Explained

There are many different types of UFC picks, with countless ways to bet on this weekend’s UFC action. As with most sports, the easiest and simplest form of UFC pick is the Moneyline. A UFC Moneyline pick is a pick on who you think will win the fight, the method is irrelevant, be it TKO/KO, submission, or on the judge’s scorecard, whoever has their arm raised is the Moneyline winner. Other popular UFC Picks include the Method Of Victory and an over/under on the number of rounds the fight will last. Aside from these, there are many other props available ranging from Strikes Landed, Number Of Takedowns, or Will The Fight Go The Distance. Here at Pickswise, our expert UFC handicappers are on hand to find the best UFC Picks for all of this week’s action. Check out our latest UFC Picks above. 

UFC Picks Tonight 

The UFC always puts on a great show and a big card each weekend. And come fight night everyone is searching for the best UFC picks tonight. With so many fights on any given card, and odds available on the Early Prelims, the Preliminary Card, and the Main Card, it is hard to research them all and even the avid UFC fan will not know all of the fighters. Here at Pickswise, we have some of the best UFC handicappers around, who live and breathe all things UFC. Our level of expertise is what separates us from the rest. Our handicappers leave no stone unturned and provide an in-depth fight preview with the key stats and information ahead of each fight and all of our UFC Picks. Check out all of tonight’s UFC picks, now. 

Feb 8, 2020; Houston, Texas, USA; Jon Jones (red gloves) fights Dominick Reyes (not pictured) during UFC 247 at Toyota Center.

UFC Pick Em

A UFC Pick Em can mean one of two things, either the sportsbooks have each fighter with the same odds, a bit like in the NFL, when the spread is 0, or it could mean a contest whereby you have to pick the winner of each fight, in effect the Moneyline winner. Our UFC picks and the insight and analysis in particular that we offer alongside them can be used in both of these circumstances. We offer our experts’ view on the fight including the outcome, including those Moneyline UFC pick-em spots, and also on all of the other top UFC action. With our in-depth previews and picks, you can also use these as the basis for your UFC Pick Em contest too. Whatever you need, Pickswise will have you covered with all things UFC, from the best picks to the latest UFC betting news. We help you to Bet better. 

UFC DFS Picks

Our UFC picks are also great for your UFC DFS picks. Each of our picks, which gives our idea of the winner, comes with key stats and analysis as to why we like a certain fighter in that spot. These stats and strategies can be used to maximize the points your get in your UFC DFS contest. With points scored for strikes, takedowns, finishes, and more, all of this will be found in our previews, along with the fighters’ previous fight stats for all of those categories. Check out this week’s UFC picks today to help you win your UFC DFS contest

When Are Your UFC Picks Posted

Our UFC Picks are typically posted just after the weigh-ins which usually take place the day before the fight. Waiting until this point allows us to maximize the information we can obtain from the Fight Week clues. One of the UFC’s biggest strengths as an organization and a big proponent of its success is the access in which it gives the media surrounding an event. Both fighters will be made available to the media on fight week and as are the weigh-ins. In both of these instances, you can get both physical and verbal clues as to how the fighter’s camp, weight cut, and preparation have gone over the previous 6-8 weeks. Of course, a fighter isn’t going to give his or her game plan away in its entirety, but even slight clues in their answers, or seeing the shape they are in at the weigh-in can be performance indicators for the weekend. All of this is considered right up until the time we post our picks, as we want to ensure we have all of the available information to make the most informed and best free UFC picks out there.

MMA Predictions and MMA Picks

The emergence of the UFC has done wonders for Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) with peak UFC fights drawing in audiences in their millions, from around the world.  The UFC is the pinnacle of MMA and our experts follow MMA institutions from around the world and already know a great deal about fighters that secure that big move into the UFC. The UFC is such a large institution, hosting MMA fight cards almost weekly throughout the year, and with a large number of fights, our MMA picks solely focus on these UFC events. Our MMA Picks will largely focus on the main markets of the fights with Moneyline MMA picks and Method of Victory markets which can offer considerably greater odds than a Moneyline wager. We provide a detailed rundown of the fighters, and how we see the fights shaping up, taking the various MMA disciplines into consideration in finding the best MMA picks on the card.  Our MMA picks will be posted in good time before fight night so you can digest our fight-by-fight analysis and best MMA picks this week.

Unsure where to wager on the UFC? Check out our full UFC Betting Guide for our best UFC sportsbooks, along with our Online Sportsbook Reviews, where we detail everything you need to know about all of the top online sportsbooks, including the best bonuses and promo codes for new customers.