UFC Picks

Pickswise is the number 1 site for free expert UFC Picks across all of the main event and fight night cards, every weekend. Our dedicated MMA handicapping team includes some of the best in the business with decades of experience handicapping MMA, and a long and successful track record with their picks.

There’s a new sport of kings and the popularity of mixed martial arts is largely being driven by the UFC. In the most straightforward terms, Our UFC picks involve picking who will be the winner of each fight on a certain card. There are dozens of other ways to wager on MMA fighting, and we’re on hand to find the best value MMA picks every week. Check out our handy expert guides below for more on how and where to bet on the UFC.

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9:00 PM ETYesterday

1 PickFinal

UFC on ESPN 70: Junior Tafa vs. Tuco Tokkos

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Total Rounds Pick

Under 1.5 Total Rounds(-135)

Reasoning

The first fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 70 will see Junior Tafa take on Tuco Tokkos. This will be a fight in the UFC Light Heavyweight division. Tafa enters this fight with an MMA record of 6-3 and 2-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.36 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. Tafa absorbs 2.84 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. He has shown no grappling ability, but has a takedown defense of 77%.

Tokkos enters this fight with an MMA record of 10-5 and 0-3 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.51 strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 38%. Tokkos absorbs 4.99 strikes and has a striking defense of 48%. His grappling is also solid, averaging 2.65 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 40% and a takedown defense of 33%.

Tafa is the clear favorite; however, he and Tokkos have been much too inconsistent to consider backing. Instead, we will be targeting a total rounds prop. Tafa has seen his last 4 UFC fights go under 1.5 rounds, while Tokkos has seen 2 of his 3 UFC fights do the same. Given that both fighters have been known to be involved in quick fights, backing under 1.5 total rounds will be our lean.

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9:30 PM ETYesterday

1 PickFinal

UFC on ESPN 70: Vitor Petrino vs. Austen Lane

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Total Rounds Pick

Under 1.5 Total Rounds(-175)

Reasoning

The second fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 70 will see Vitor Petrino take on Austen Lane. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division. Petrino enters this fight with an MMA record of 11-2 and 5-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.83 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 45%. Petrino is absorbing 2.71 strikes and has a striking defense of 47%. His grappling has been elite, averaging 3.24 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 57% and a takedown defense of 71%.

Lane enters this fight with an MMA record of 13-6 and 2-4 in the UFC. He is averaging 2.98 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Lane is absorbing 2.41 strikes and has a striking defense of 40%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 1.70 takedowns every 15 minutes. Lane has a takedown accuracy of 28% and his takedown defense is 50%.

Petrino is one of the biggest favorites on this card; therefore, we will be targeting this fight to go under 1.5 total rounds. Lane has seen 5 of his 6 UFC fights go under 1.5 rounds, while Petrino has seen 3 of his 7 UFC fights do the same. Given the high finish rate for both fighters, backing under 1.5 total rounds will be our lean.

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10:00 PM ETYesterday

1 PickFinal

UFC on ESPN 70: Nate Landwehr vs. Morgan Charriere

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Money Line Pick

Landwehr Win(+220)

Reasoning

The third fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 70 will see Nate Landwehr take on Morgan Charriere. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Landwehr enters this fight with an MMA record of 18-6 and 5-4 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.59 strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. Landwehr absorbs 5.77 strikes and has a striking defense of 52%. He also has decent grappling ability, averaging 0.85 takedowns every 15 minutes and 0.8 submission attempts during the same period. Landwehr has a takedown accuracy of 41% and a takedown defense of 74%.

Charriere enters this fight with an MMA record of 20-11-1 and 2-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 3.46 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 49%. Charriere is absorbing 4.15 strikes and has a striking defense of 51%. His grappling has also been solid, averaging 1.91 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 50% and a takedown defense of 83%.

Charriere is the significant favorite in this fight, but Landwehr looks to be a decent betting option to pull the upset. Landwehr has the clear edge in striking volume, and his takedown defense has been strong enough to negate the advantage Charriere has in grappling. For that reason, backing Landwehr to pull the upset will be our lean.

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10:30 PM ETYesterday

1 PickFinal

UFC on ESPN 70: Calvin Kattar vs. Steve Garcia

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Money Line Pick

Garcia Win(-122)

Reasoning

The fourth fight on the Main Card at UFC on ESPN 70 will see Calvin Kattar take on Steve Garcia. This will be a fight in the UFC Featherweight division. Kattar enters this fight with an MMA record of 23-9 and 7-7 in the UFC. He is averaging 4.60 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 38%. Kattar is absorbing 6.62 strikes and has a striking defense of 53%. His grappling has not been consistent, averaging 0.36 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 29% and a takedown defense of 77%.

Garcia comes into this fight with an MMA record of 17-5 and 7-2 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.04 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 56%. Garcia is absorbing 2.34 strikes and has a striking defense of 46%. His grappling is also decent, averaging 1.17 takedowns every 15 minutes. His takedown accuracy is 40% and his takedown defense is 88%.

Garcia is the small favorite in this fight, but looks to be the best betting option. He has won his last 5 UFC fights in a row, while Kattar has lost his last 4 UFC fights in a row and 5 of his last 6 UFC fights. Garcia also has the edge in striking volume and grappling; therefore, backing Garcia to win will be our best bet.

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11:00 PM ETYesterday

1 PickFinal

UFC on ESPN 70: Stephen Thompson vs. Gabriel Bonfim

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Method of Victory Pick

Bonfim Win by Finish(-115)

Reasoning

The Co-Main Event at UFC on ESPN 70 will see Stephen Thompson take on Gabriel Bonfim. This will be a fight in the UFC Welterweight division. Thompson enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-8-1 and 12-8-1. He is averaging 4.11 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 46%. Thompson absorbs 3.02 strikes and has a striking defense of 55%. His grappling has not been strong, averaging just 0.25 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 41% and a takedown defense of 63%.

Bonfim enters this fight with an MMA record of 17-1 and 5-1 in the UFC. He is averaging 5.22 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 43%. Bonfim is absorbing 3.80 strikes and has a striking defense of 65%. His grappling has also been elite, averaging 3.68 takedowns every 15 minutes and 2.2 submission attempts during the same period. He has a takedown accuracy of 76% and his takedown defense is 73%.

Seeing that Bonfim is the overwhelming favorite, we will be looking at the method by which he could win. Bonfim has won 4 of his 5 UFC fights by finish, including his most recent fight. As for Thompson, he has lost 4 of his last 5 UFC fights, two of which have been by finish. Given the recent struggles shown by Thompson and the high finish rate for Bonfim, backing him to win by finish will be our best bet.

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11:30 PM ETYesterday

1 Pick

UFC on ESPN 70: Derrick Lewis vs. Tallison Teixeira

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Round Prop Pick

Fight to End in Round 1(-160)

Reasoning

The Main Event at UFC on ESPN 70 will see Derrick Lewis take on Tallison Teixeira. This will be a fight in the UFC Heavyweight division. Lewis enters this fight with an MMA record of 28-12, and he is 19-10 in the UFC. He averages 2.48 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 50%. Lewis absorbs 2.48 strikes and has a striking defense of 40%. His grappling is not nearly as strong, averaging 0.57 takedowns every 15 minutes. He has a takedown accuracy of 26% and a takedown defense of 52%.

Teixeira enters this fight with an MMA record of 8-0 and 2-0 in the UFC. He is averaging 14.61 significant strikes per minute and has a striking accuracy of 59%. Teixeira absorbs 7.50 strikes and has a striking defense of 59%.

Teixeira is the overwhelming favorite; therefore, we will be targeting a round prop. Teixeira has won both of his UFC fights in round one. Further, Teixeira has the superior striking volume, plus he has never lost a fight in his MMA career. As for Lewis, he has seen 3 of his last 5 UFC fights end in round one; therefore, backing the same here will be our best bet.

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UFC Picks Explained

There are many different types of UFC picks, with countless ways to bet on this weekend’s UFC action. As with most sports, the easiest and simplest form of UFC pick is the Moneyline. A UFC Moneyline pick is a pick on who you think will win the fight, the method is irrelevant, be it TKO/KO, submission, or on the judge’s scorecard, whoever has their arm raised is the Moneyline winner. Other popular UFC Picks include the Method Of Victory and an over/under on the number of rounds the fight will last. Aside from these, there are many other props available ranging from Strikes Landed, Number Of Takedowns, or Will The Fight Go The Distance. Here at Pickswise, our expert UFC handicappers are on hand to find the best UFC Picks for all of this week’s action. Check out our latest UFC Picks above.

UFC Picks Tonight

The UFC always puts on a great show and a big card each weekend. And come fight night everyone is searching for the best UFC picks tonight. With so many fights on any given card, and odds available on the Early Prelims, the Preliminary Card, and the Main Card, it is hard to research them all and even the avid UFC fan will not know all of the fighters. Here at Pickswise, we have some of the best UFC handicappers around, who live and breathe all things UFC. Our level of expertise is what separates us from the rest. Our handicappers leave no stone unturned and provide an in-depth fight preview with the key stats and information ahead of each fight and all of our UFC Picks. Check out all of tonight’s UFC picks, now.

UFC Pick Em

A UFC Pick Em can mean one of two things, either the sportsbooks have each fighter with the same odds, a bit like in the NFL, when the spread is 0, or it could mean a contest whereby you have to pick the winner of each fight, in effect the Moneyline winner. Our UFC picks and the insight and analysis in particular that we offer alongside them can be used in both of these circumstances. We offer our experts’ view on the fight including the outcome, including those Moneyline UFC pick-em spots, and also on all of the other top UFC action. With our in-depth previews and picks, you can also use these as the basis for your UFC Pick Em contest too. Whatever you need, Pickswise will have you covered with all things UFC, from the best picks to the latest UFC betting news. We help you to Bet better.

UFC DFS Picks

Our UFC picks are also great for your UFC DFS picks. Each of our picks, which gives our idea of the winner, comes with key stats and analysis as to why we like a certain fighter in that spot. These stats and strategies can be used to maximize the points your get in your UFC DFS contest. With points scored for strikes, takedowns, finishes, and more, all of this will be found in our previews, along with the fighters’ previous fight stats for all of those categories. Check out this week’s UFC picks today to help you win your UFC DFS contest

When Are Your UFC Picks Posted

Our UFC Picks are typically posted just after the weigh-ins which usually take place the day before the fight. Waiting until this point allows us to maximize the information we can obtain from the Fight Week clues. One of the UFC’s biggest strengths as an organization and a big proponent of its success is the access in which it gives the media surrounding an event. Both fighters will be made available to the media on fight week and as are the weigh-ins. In both of these instances, you can get both physical and verbal clues as to how the fighter’s camp, weight cut, and preparation have gone over the previous 6-8 weeks. Of course, a fighter isn’t going to give his or her game plan away in its entirety, but even slight clues in their answers, or seeing the shape they are in at the weigh-in can be performance indicators for the weekend. All of this is considered right up until the time we post our picks, as we want to ensure we have all of the available information to make the most informed and best free UFC picks out there.

MMA Predictions and MMA Picks

The emergence of the UFC has done wonders for Mixed Martial Arts (MMA) with peak UFC fights drawing in audiences in their millions, from around the world. The UFC is the pinnacle of MMA and our experts follow MMA institutions from around the world and already know a great deal about fighters that secure that big move into the UFC. The UFC is such a large institution, hosting MMA fight cards almost weekly throughout the year, and with a large number of fights, our MMA picks solely focus on these UFC events. Our MMA Picks will largely focus on the main markets of the fights with Moneyline MMA picks and Method of Victory markets which can offer considerably greater odds than a Moneyline wager. We provide a detailed rundown of the fighters, and how we see the fights shaping up, taking the various MMA disciplines into consideration in finding the best MMA picks on the card. Our MMA picks will be posted in good time before fight night so you can digest our fight-by-fight analysis and best MMA picks this week.

Unsure where to wager on the UFC? Check out our full UFC Betting Guide for our best UFC sportsbooks, along with our Online Sportsbook Reviews, where we detail everything you need to know about all of the top online sportsbooks, including the best bonuses and promo codes for new customers.