The Pac-12 is so back with all these high-scoring, defense-is-optional teams in the mix. The newest episode of Pac-12 After Dark features this week’s likely shootout between the Oregon State Beavers and Boise State Broncos. Boise is comfortably in command of the conference at 5-0, and they are the early leaders for the at-large playoff berth. Oregon State is in a four-way tie for second place at 3-2, but they have dropped two in a row. They are likely to push that streak to three games, but what we are interested in is the points. We have a couple of Pac-12 high-scorers with a game total in the 60s, and whenever I see that, I am pulling the trigger. Give me the game total over 65.5.
Both teams are “over” teams, as each is 7-2 to the over on the year. We are as likely to see 90 points as *just* 60. The biggest factor pushing the scoring in this game is the Boise State running game, which averages over 237 yards per game, good enough for seventh in the nation. It probably doesn’t matter who they play; they are going to run the ball. But Oregon State checks in outside the top 100 in rushing yards allowed. So it is nearly a given that Boise is going to run a lot, pile up yards, and score a ton. The Beavers will have to keep pace. They have had plenty of offensive success this year, and it’s not like the Broncos are an elite defense. They are built to match their offense. We should be up and down the field all night, and weather shouldn’t be a factor. Take the over and have fun.
Oregon State vs Boise State best bet: Over 65.5 (-110) available at the time of publishing. Playable to 69.5.
