

Missouri is coming off a deflating 14-point loss at home against Texas, while Georgia is fresh off back-to-back boat races, with an aggregate score of 69-15 against Ole Miss and Florida. The Bulldogs are playing like a well-oiled machine after dropping one to Auburn, and the numbers back it up. In simple terms, Georgia ranks top-25 in practically every relevant offensive and defensive category one could imagine. The Bulldogs are second in offensive success rate and 14th in defensive success rate. The offense is incredibly well-rounded, ranking top-10 in both EPA/dropback and EPA/rush.
Missouri’s defense has been excellent at times, but the Tigers simply don’t have the offensive production to match UGA. Missouri ranks 107th in offensive success rate and has struggled in late-down situations. For what it’s worth, Missouri’s most recent road game against a top-10 opponent resulted in a 31-3 loss against the same team Georgia just beat by 35. The Bulldogs are rolling, and I’ve got another blowout brewing in Athens on Saturday.
Missouri vs Georgia prediction: Georgia -15.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -16.5.
