As sick as it may sound, taking Indiana isn't going to feel comfortable. But that's precisely why I'm interested. The defending National Champions are 3-0 but remarkably 0-3 against the spread. Indiana has actually outscored its opponents 145-16, yet failed to cover inflated numbers against North Texas, Howard, and Western Kentucky. Suddenly, nobody seems particularly interested in laying lumber with the Hoosiers even when the profile suggests that they are still a force to be reckoned with.
Meanwhile, Northwestern enters in a polar opposite position. The Wildcats were 3.5-point favorites against an undefeated Colorado team carrying plenty of attention with Coach Prime coming to town on Saturday. Northwestern subsequently demolished the Buffaloes 41-7. NW has been flawless against the spread too. So what has this turned into? A trendy underdog catching 3 full touchdowns against, we remind you, the defending champs who haven't covered a spread all season. That's all that the market is focused on. But I dare ask, what would the number be if IU clobbered everyone in their path enough to cover insanely ludicrous point spreads? The Hoosiers might be a 30-point choice here if that were the case. That's why I want Coach Cig and company. That's why I'll lay the lightning. The Hoosiers, believe it or not, are undervalued. I'll sell Northwestern after its statement victory and buy Indiana low in a spot nobody wants to lay the points.
Northwestern vs Indiana prediction: Indiana -21 (-108) available at time of publishing. Playable to the number.
