Joe Williams
Pickswise ExpertJoe's Picks
The Santa Clara Broncos and Arizona State Sun Devils meet at Lee’s Family Forum in Henderson, Nevada on a neutral floor. The Broncos are looking to bounce back following a 98-71 loss at New Mexico as a 1-point underdog, and Santa Clara has dropped two of the past four games, while going 1-2-1 against the spread in the span. The Over has cashed in 3 in a row, too, if you’re interested in a Same Game Parlay. The Broncos’ defense has struggled, allowing 71 or more points in 4 consecutive outings — including 98 points last time out against UNM.
The Sun Devils dropped Northern Arizona last time out 73-48, covering as a 16-point favorite. The Sun Devils, runners-up at the Maui Invitational, have won 6 of the past 7 games, while covering 5 of the past 6 outings. Arizona State is 7-2 ATS in the past 9 games, too. On a neutral floor, Sparky has won and covered in 3 of 4 games Arizona State is a strong play in Henderson against a Santa Clara team playing poor basketball of late. I’m backing the battle-tested Sun Devils to get the job done outright.
Arizona State vs Santa Clara prediction: Arizona State ML (+125) available at time of publishing. Playable to +110.
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The Kansas Jayhawks head to the Triangle to battle NC State, and it is listed as a road underdog despite being ranked inside the Top 25. Kansas is coming off an impressive 80-60 rout of rival Missouri at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City last time out, and KU has managed victories over the likes of Tennessee, Syracuse and Notre Dame so far this season. While Kansas hasn’t had a lot of road against teams from Tobacco Road, losing 87-74 at North Carolina at the Dean Dome on Nov. 7 as a similar 2.5-point underdog, and 78-66 to Duke at Madison Square Garden on Nov. 18, back the Jayhawks to top NC State.
Will Wade’s NC State Wolfpack just crushed Liberty 85-45 last time out on Wednesday as a 12.5-point favorite, snapping an 0-3 ATS skid. Against power conference teams so far this season, NC State has proven it isn’t quite ready for primetime. It lost 83-73 at Auburn on Dec. 3 as a 6.5-point underdog, and it fell 102-97 against Texas at the Maui Invitational. The Wolfpack have won seven of 10 games so far, but the jury is still out if NC State is legitimate, or if it has just beaten up on the weaklings, while getting outclassed by actual competition. This is a measuring-stick game, and how things have unfolded to date, bet against the Wolfpack.
Kansas vs NC State prediction: Kansas ML (+125) available at time of publishing. Playable to +110.
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The Pitt Panthers make the trek across the Keystone State to battle the Villanova Wildcats looking to turn things around. Pitt suffered an 80-73 loss at home against Hofstra as a 9-point favorite, going 1-4 straight up and against the spread in the past five games. As an underdog, Pitt is 1-2 ATS this season. However, in this series, the Panthers have not only won each of the past six meetings in this series since Feb. 21, 2010, but the Panthers are 5-1 ATS in that span, too.
For Villanova, it heads in looking to redeem itself after an ugly 89-61 beatdown from Michigan last time out on Tuesday. That halted a seven-game win streak for the Wildcats, although they’re just 3-3 ATS in the span. Villanova is just 3-2 ATS in the past five games as a double-digit favorite, too. The Wildcats have managed 80.7 PPG, while hitting 46.8 percent from the field, while going 36.5 percent from behind the three-point line. Defensively, Villanova has managed to allow 69.0 PPG, although teams are hitting 44.8 percent against them, while the Wildcats have one of the worst defensive three-pointer percentages at 39.8 percent. Look for Pitt, who hits at a 34.3 percent mark from downtown, to stay in the game and cover thanks to its perimeter shooting.
Pittsburgh vs Villanova prediction: Pittsburgh +10 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to +8.5.
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