Joe Williams

Pickswise Expert
Google News
Joe has been submitting plays for Pickswise since 2022, but he has been working in the sports industry since 1999. Joe has been handicapping professionally since 2009, and has most notably appeared on USA Today’s SportsBookWire and VegasInsider.com, finishing as the top handicapper in multiple sports over the years. His favourite wagers are totals, particularly for college football and hockey. For Joe Williams media enquiries, please email contact@pickswise.com.
Live Picks 4
Live Parlays 0
Weekly News Articles 3
Location
Raleigh, North Carolina
Favorite Sports
Favorite Teams
Carolina Hurricanes
Cleveland Browns
Florida Atlantic Owls
Toronto Maple Leafs
Greatest Betting Win
It was Super Bowl XXXIII, and the Atlanta Falcons were playing the Denver Broncos. With Denver already up 17-6, Terrell Davis was tackled at the 1-yard line. My buddy and I made the maximum live bet with, uhh, our bookie, taking the Broncos -½ point on the fourth quarter line. On the first play of the fourth quarter, Howard Griffith punched in a 1-yard touchdown run. John Elway scored a few minutes later, but it was still a nail-biter, as Tim Dwight ripped off a 94-yard kickoff return to make things interesting. After a Jason Elam field goal made it 17-7 for the quarter, Terrance Mathis had a touchdown grab with 2:04 left, with a 2-point conversion no good. The Falcons were unable to recover the onside kick, and we survived, and learned a valuable lesson that nothing is a given in sports wagering.
Greatest Achievements
Overall money leader in the NHL in 2011 at VegasInsider.com Money leader in several sports over the years at VI Went on a 14-0 MLB run in 2019
Education
Joe attended Florida Atlantic University in Boca Raton, Fla., and worked for the College Sun newspaper covering the team’s first Atlantic Sun Tournament championship and first NCAA Tournament appearance in Greenville, SC. He never thought he’d see the day the Owls would appear in the Final Four, as FAU did in 2023.
Experience
40+ years betting experience 25+ years as a sports journalist 13+ years as a sports handicapper As a kid, Joe used to play the football cards his dad would bring home from work. He has been hooked on sports and wagering ever since, especially after hitting a 7-team parlay back in the 1980’s. It was likely highly illegal, and against school rules, but Joe ran his own football pool in high school in the early 1990’s.
Favorite betting market / type
Money lines and game totals.
Favorite bookmakers
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Joe's Picks

Money Line Pick
BOS Bruins Win(-120)

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The Washington Capitals head to TD Garden to tangle with the Boston Bruins in a matinee game on Saturday. The Capitals traded veteran defenseman John Carlson prior to the deadline on Friday, and replacement Timothy Liljegren isn’t likely to be available on such short notice. As such, the Caps figure to be a little shorthanded. They also acquired veteran forward David Kampf, who will replace the departed Nic Dowd. Washington has lost the past 2 games and it suffered a 3-2 setback in the first meeting with Boston on home ice in the regular-season opener.

The Bruins also made some moves prior to the deadline, although nothing major. Lukas Reichel was acquired for a pick, while they also made a minor trade with the Flyers for some organizational depth. Boston is secure with the personnel that has overproduced this season. Boston was dropped 6-3 in Nashville, but it is 14-3-2 across the past 19 games — grabbing 30 out of a possible 38 points since December 31. The Bruins have been humming along — and with Jeremy Swayman expected in the cage, let’s take Boston in the matinee game on home ice.

Capitals vs Bruins prediction: Boston ML (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable to -140.

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Point Spread Pick
Arizona State +15.0(-115)

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The Arizona State Sun Devils were on fire earlier in the season, making a magical run in November to the Maui Invitational Championship before falling to USC. It’s been all downhill since then, with Sparky barely above .500. However, Arizona State showed in the past couple of weeks — at least at home — that it can be dangerous. It topped Kansas 70-60 as a 5.5-point underdog in Tempe, and it was ‘Forks Up’ in a 72-67 upset of Texas Tech on Feb. 17 as a 7.5-point underdog. However, on the road, Arizona State is just 1-8 in the past 9 games. Arizona State has covered 5 of the past 6 games, though, while going 9-2 ATS in the previous 11 outings. It is a respectable 4-3 ATS in the past 7 road games, too, and it has cashed in 2 of the past 3 as a double-digit ‘dog.

Iowa State is trying to build momentum heading into the Big 12 and NCAA tournaments. It has lost the past 2 games to Texas Tech and Arizona while dropping 3 of the past 4 games, likely fumbling away a shot at a #1 or #2 seed in the NCAA Tournament. It is just 1-3 ATS in the past 5 games, too, while going 2-3 ATS in the past 5 as a favorite of 7.5 or more points. Let’s take Arizona State catching the big points.

Arizona State vs Iowa State prediction: Arizona State +15 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to +14.

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Total Pick
Over 149.5(-110)

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The #seed Tennessee State Tigers meet the #2 seed Morehead State Eagles in the Ohio Valley Conference Final at the Ford Center in Evansville, Indiana. For the most part, the OVC Tournament ended up going according to plan — with higher seed winning 5 of the 6 games so far. Tennessee State and Morehead State each earned byes until the semifinals, and each obviously won their opening games. Tennessee State ousted rival Tennessee-Martin 68-55 on Friday, while Morehead State topped Southeast Missouri State 66-61.

The Tigers covered as +2.5 underdogs against the Skyhawks despite being the top overall seed. TSU has won and covered 4 in a row since Feb. 14, when it lost at Morehead State, 94-86. While the Under cashed last time out and in the final three regular-season games, the Over cashed in the first meeting with Morehead State on January 15 — a 105-100 OT win in Nashville. The Over is 5-3 in the past 8 meetings in this series. Morehead State covered both regular-season matchups while going 7-1 ATS in the past 8 in the series, if you’re looking for a Same Game Parlay opportunity. But the best bet here is to go Over on the total, even with the pressure and nerves from an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament being on the line.

Morehead State vs Tennessee State prediction: Over 149.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 150.5.

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Point Spread Pick
UConn -9.0(-115)

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The UConn Huskies are ranked inside the top 5 and looking for another deep run in March. It has become a regular happening in recent seasons under head coach Dan Hurley, who led the team to back-to-back national championships in 2023 and 2024. This team, with Tarris Reed, Solo Ball, Alex Karaban, etc. has the tools to win another natty. UConn has won 3 games in a row since falling at home to Creighton on February 18, averaging 72.0 ppg while allowing 67 or fewer points in each. The Huskies roughed up the Golden Eagles 73-57 in the first meeting in Storrs on Jan. 4, too, although UConn missed covering as a 17.5-point favorite.

Marquette has had a down season for Shaka Smart, and it will take a miracle for the Golden Eagles to find their way into the NCAA Tournament. They need to win the Big East Tournament. Marquette can grab some momentum with a Quad 1 win over UConn, but don’t bank on it. Marquette has lost 4 of the past 6 games outright, although it has cashed in 3 straight as an underdog while going 6-1 against the spread in the past 7 outings. Still, despite Marquette’s solid run against the number, it shouldn’t be much more than a speed bump for UConn.

UConn vs Marquette prediction: UConn -9 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -10.5.

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Joe's Analysis