Joe Williams
Pickswise ExpertJoe's Picks
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The Washington Capitals head to TD Garden to tangle with the Boston Bruins in a matinee game on Saturday. The Capitals traded veteran defenseman John Carlson prior to the deadline on Friday, and replacement Timothy Liljegren isn’t likely to be available on such short notice. As such, the Caps figure to be a little shorthanded. They also acquired veteran forward David Kampf, who will replace the departed Nic Dowd. Washington has lost the past 2 games and it suffered a 3-2 setback in the first meeting with Boston on home ice in the regular-season opener.
The Bruins also made some moves prior to the deadline, although nothing major. Lukas Reichel was acquired for a pick, while they also made a minor trade with the Flyers for some organizational depth. Boston is secure with the personnel that has overproduced this season. Boston was dropped 6-3 in Nashville, but it is 14-3-2 across the past 19 games — grabbing 30 out of a possible 38 points since December 31. The Bruins have been humming along — and with Jeremy Swayman expected in the cage, let’s take Boston in the matinee game on home ice.
Capitals vs Bruins prediction: Boston ML (-120) available at time of publishing. Playable to -140.
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Stop busting brackets and sign up for the Pickswise March Madness Premium Picks now! Our expert is up +30.7 units over the last 3 NCAA Tournaments and picked Florida at +4000 last year. Get futures picks and daily best bets throughout the entire tournament, all for just $50. Click here to join and get 20% off before Selection Sunday!
The Arizona State Sun Devils were on fire earlier in the season, making a magical run in November to the Maui Invitational Championship before falling to USC. It’s been all downhill since then, with Sparky barely above .500. However, Arizona State showed in the past couple of weeks — at least at home — that it can be dangerous. It topped Kansas 70-60 as a 5.5-point underdog in Tempe, and it was ‘Forks Up’ in a 72-67 upset of Texas Tech on Feb. 17 as a 7.5-point underdog. However, on the road, Arizona State is just 1-8 in the past 9 games. Arizona State has covered 5 of the past 6 games, though, while going 9-2 ATS in the previous 11 outings. It is a respectable 4-3 ATS in the past 7 road games, too, and it has cashed in 2 of the past 3 as a double-digit ‘dog.
Iowa State is trying to build momentum heading into the Big 12 and NCAA tournaments. It has lost the past 2 games to Texas Tech and Arizona while dropping 3 of the past 4 games, likely fumbling away a shot at a #1 or #2 seed in the NCAA Tournament. It is just 1-3 ATS in the past 5 games, too, while going 2-3 ATS in the past 5 as a favorite of 7.5 or more points. Let’s take Arizona State catching the big points.
Arizona State vs Iowa State prediction: Arizona State +15 (-115) available at time of publishing. Playable to +14.
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The #seed Tennessee State Tigers meet the #2 seed Morehead State Eagles in the Ohio Valley Conference Final at the Ford Center in Evansville, Indiana. For the most part, the OVC Tournament ended up going according to plan — with higher seed winning 5 of the 6 games so far. Tennessee State and Morehead State each earned byes until the semifinals, and each obviously won their opening games. Tennessee State ousted rival Tennessee-Martin 68-55 on Friday, while Morehead State topped Southeast Missouri State 66-61.
The Tigers covered as +2.5 underdogs against the Skyhawks despite being the top overall seed. TSU has won and covered 4 in a row since Feb. 14, when it lost at Morehead State, 94-86. While the Under cashed last time out and in the final three regular-season games, the Over cashed in the first meeting with Morehead State on January 15 — a 105-100 OT win in Nashville. The Over is 5-3 in the past 8 meetings in this series. Morehead State covered both regular-season matchups while going 7-1 ATS in the past 8 in the series, if you’re looking for a Same Game Parlay opportunity. But the best bet here is to go Over on the total, even with the pressure and nerves from an automatic bid to the NCAA Tournament being on the line.
Morehead State vs Tennessee State prediction: Over 149.5 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to 150.5.
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The UConn Huskies are ranked inside the top 5 and looking for another deep run in March. It has become a regular happening in recent seasons under head coach Dan Hurley, who led the team to back-to-back national championships in 2023 and 2024. This team, with Tarris Reed, Solo Ball, Alex Karaban, etc. has the tools to win another natty. UConn has won 3 games in a row since falling at home to Creighton on February 18, averaging 72.0 ppg while allowing 67 or fewer points in each. The Huskies roughed up the Golden Eagles 73-57 in the first meeting in Storrs on Jan. 4, too, although UConn missed covering as a 17.5-point favorite.
Marquette has had a down season for Shaka Smart, and it will take a miracle for the Golden Eagles to find their way into the NCAA Tournament. They need to win the Big East Tournament. Marquette can grab some momentum with a Quad 1 win over UConn, but don’t bank on it. Marquette has lost 4 of the past 6 games outright, although it has cashed in 3 straight as an underdog while going 6-1 against the spread in the past 7 outings. Still, despite Marquette’s solid run against the number, it shouldn’t be much more than a speed bump for UConn.
UConn vs Marquette prediction: UConn -9 (-110) available at time of publishing. Playable to -10.5.
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