Philadelphia Phillies vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, Odds and MLB Picks for Saturday, 07/04/26

🔥 Win Probability

45.9%PHI

54.1%KC

Probable Pitchers

PHI

Pitchers

KC

Aaron NolaSP, #27

vs

Luinder AvilaRP, #58

PLAYER	W-L	ERA	WHIP	IP	H	K	BB	HR
A. Nola	3-5	6.04	1.49	85.0	98	87	29	19
L. Avila	3-3	5.40	1.67	46.2	48	43	30	5

Team Stats

PHI

KC

Batting

.237AVG.242

.706OPS.702

117HR87

381RBI345

702H714

394R363

67SB68

256BB285

Pitching

4.14ERA4.87

1.31WHIP1.44

49W35

39L53

849K671

252BB336

101HR113

26SV22

782.1IP776.2

Fielding

0.986FP0.988

44E38

118DP153

734A783

0PO0

Season Leaders

Batting LeadersPitching Leaders

PHI

Avg. Per Game

KC

B. Marsh

.315 AVG.348 OBP.523 SLG

Batting Average

B. Witt Jr.

.290 AVG.362 OBP.470 SLG

K. Schwarber

30 HR.250 AVG55 RBI

Home Runs

J. Caglianone

14 HR.261 AVG30 RBI

B. Harper

57 RBI20 HR.274 AVG

Runs Batted In

C. Jensen

47 RBI13 HR.251 AVG

Season Series

Regular Season Series

Jul 4

PHI6

@

KC1

Final

Jul 5

PHI-

@

KC-

7/5

Jul 6

PHI-

@

KC-

7/6

Injury Report

KC

Player	Pos	Injury	Return
N. Mears	RP	Right Shoulder	Jul 3
M. Garcia	3B	Left Hand	Jul 3
S. Perez	C	Right Elbow	Jul 4
S. Kolek	SP	Personal	Jul 7
C. Estevez	RP	Right Shoulder	Jul 16

PHI

Player	Pos	Injury	Return
B. Keller	RP	Right Forearm	Jul 6
J. Rojas	CF	Right Elbow	Jan 31
A. Garcia	RF	Right Lat	Jan 31

Standings

2026 National League East Standings

Team	W	L	GB	STRK	PCT
Atlanta	51	35	-	W1	.593
Philadelphia	50	39	2.5	W1	.562
Miami	47	42	5.5	W1	.528
Washington	46	44	7	L1	.511
New York	36	52	16	L2	.409

2026 American League Central Standings

Team	W	L	GB	STRK	PCT
Chicago	46	42	-	W1	.523
Cleveland	47	43	-	L1	.522
Minnesota	43	47	4	W1	.478
Detroit	39	50	7.5	W1	.438
Kansas City	35	54	11.5	L4	.393

Last 5 Games

PHI Last 5

DATE	OPP	RESULT
7/2/26	vs PIT	L 6-1
7/1/26	vs PIT	W 10-6
6/30/26	vs PIT	W 8-0
6/29/26	vs PIT	L 11-7
6/28/26	@ NYM	W 5-4

KC Last 5

DATE	OPP	RESULT
7/2/26	vs TB	L 5-2
7/1/26	vs TB	L 4-0
6/30/26	vs TB	L 10-4
6/28/26	@ CHW	W 5-4
6/27/26	@ CHW	L 2-1