Portland Trail Blazers vs Phoenix Suns Prediction, Odds and NBA Picks for Tomorrow

I was tempted to press even harder on Phoenix because the Suns are the epitome of a value bet, even if everything on the surface suggests otherwise. There are two major factors at play here. First, Phoenix has been dreadful from a betting perspective. The Suns have won just once and are 0-5 against the spread. Compare that with Portland who will host here, sporting a 5-1 record and a 4-2 mark against the number. That's already enough to make the Trail Blazers considerably more appealing to the man on the street.

Then there's the small matter of Portland absolutely torching Phoenix in a 41-point rout when these teams met on Opening Night. Surely the Suns should be catching a substantially bigger price this time around? Well, here's the kicker. Phoenix opened at +155 on the look-ahead line for that first meeting before closing at +140. Despite everything that's happened since, the Suns have been priced as low as +162 for this rematch. Think about that. Phoenix hasn't covered a game, Portland has been rolling, and the Trail Blazers just demolished this very opponent by 41 points. Yet the market hasn't adjusted nearly as dramatically as you might expect. We play numbers, not teams, and this is precisely the sort of discrepancy that gets my attention. The Suns look like a terrible proposition until you examine the price and the circumstances surrounding it. That's where the value lies. I expect a considerably different outcome in Portland this time around. Phoenix is an awfully tempting underdog and I am happy to move in hard on the upset bid to get the Suns on the board finally with their first cover done with style.

Suns vs Trail Blazers prediction: Phoenix +165 (ML) available at time of writing. Playable to +160.