Adam Ronis' NBA player prop picks for Friday, January 7
There are 9 games in the NBA on Friday night. Three games have a line of 4.5 points or less and 1 has a double-digit line. Two games have a total of at least 229 points. As always, stay up to date on the latest injury news since lines can change and COVID-19 is making a big impact. Bets may be added throughout the day if there are additional spots that arise, so be sure to check back later in the day. My record is 38-24 for the season. Here are my picks for tonight.
Jarrett Allen over 29.5 points + rebounds + assists (-105, Caesars)
Jarrett Allen is averaging 17.1 points, 10.7 rebounds and 1.9 assists. Allen has been back for 3 games from the health and safety protocols and has 29, 31 and 36 PRA. It’s a great matchup for him against Portland, which is ranked last in defensive efficiency and ranks 24th in points in the paint. Allen had 24 points, 17 rebounds and 4 assists against Portland on November 3.
Malik Monk over 15.5 points (-120, Caesars)
Malik Monk has seen an increase in minutes and usage for the Lakers with Anthony Davis out. Monk has scored at least 18 points in 5 of the last 6 games. The one game he fell short, Monk scored 15 in 31 minutes in a loss to Memphis. Monk has played at least 30 minutes in 6 straight games and 11 times overall this season, in which he’s gone over this total 9 times. The Hawks allow the second-most fantasy points to shooting guards and are 27th in defensive efficiency.
Joel Embiid over 29.5 points (-115, DraftKings)
Joel Embiid is averaging 33.5 points over the last 5 games, scoring 36, 36, 34, 31 and 31 points. The 76ers are missing a few players and more reliant on Embiid to carry them. He has taken at least 20 shots from the field in 3 straight games and has at least 10 free-throw attempts in 7 of the last 8. Embiid has also gone over this total in 7 of the last 8 games. The Spurs allow the third-most points in the paint per game (49.1).
Jalen Brunson over 20.5 Points (-115 on FanDuel)
Kristaps Porzingis is out and Luka Doncic is listed as doubtful. Brunson has a 28.1 percent usage rate with both of them off the floor. The Rockets are 29th in defensive efficiency and third in pace. Brunson will have to take a lot of shots and carry the offense. The Rockets allow the sixth most points to point guards.