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MLB Monday gets going early with a 12-game slate that starts at 12:20 pm ET when the Padres meet the Braves for Game 1 of their doubleheader. I’ve combed through each matchup today and have come up with my favorite MLB player prop bets for Monday, May 20. Also, make sure you find out our MLB picks for each of today’s big matchups.
Reese Olson (DET) under 5.5 hits allowed (-109)
Line available at Caesars Sportsbook at time of publishing.
You won’t see me back many pitchers facing off against a team he just pitched against less than a month ago, but I’m making an exception with up-and-coming star Reese Olson. His high groundball rate, mixed with his 3.31 xERA, has him as one of the best pitchers in baseball through the first half of the MLB season. Tonight, he’ll take on division rival Kansas City Royals for the second time — throwing 7 innings of one-run baseball last time out.
The 29-19 Royals are serious this season. They’re led by AL MVP candidate Bobby Witt Jr. and an elite pitching staff that ranks in the top 10 in ERA. Nonetheless, they rank in the middle of the pack in most major hitting categories against RHP — the side that Olson throws from. Olson has been on cruise control in his 5 five starts. He’s allowed fewer than 6 hits in all five, including holding all 4 of his previous opponents to under 2 runs.
Read our full Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals predictions
Logan Gilbert (SEA) under 5.5 hits allowed (-131)
Line available at Caesars Sportsbook at time of publishing.
The matchup is brutal for Logan Gilbert tonight. He’ll face off against the surging New York Yankees, who have won 7 games in a row and have been tearing the thread off the baseball. Yet here I am, backing an opposing pitcher prop. Gilbert has been roughed up his last 2 times out but has been one of the best pitchers in baseball through the early part of the season. He ranks in the top 75 percentile in xERA, xBA and whiff percentage. He’s capable of putting together a 7+ strikeout game even against the Yankees, who don’t strikeout often against RHP. But the books have already juiced his strikeouts up to 5.5. Instead of backing his strikeouts, we’ll pivot to his “hits allowed” prop that has cashed in 8 of 9 starts this season.
For his career, Gilbert has been known to have a low BB% and go deep into games while holding a low pitch count. But in his last 5 starts, Gilbert has been out of sorts, with at least 2 walks in 4 of 5 games. The good news is that it will only help us when backing the under of his “hits allowed” that is juiced down to -140 on DraftKings.
Head to Caesars Sportsbook to get the best odds for both of these MLB player props. If you’re a new user, then even better! Caesars has a great new-user offer where you can secure up to $1,000 in first-bet insurance. Click here to sign up for Caesars.
