Best NBA player prop bet for Mavericks vs Warriors Game 3 today 5/22: Finney-Smith lights it up from 3
Pickswise was nice enough to give me the opportunity to write my plays up for you all. For those of you who don’t know me, they refer to me as JutPicks on Twitter. I post all my plays with brief write-ups every day. Now I get to write even more with no character limit!
I pride myself in being as transparent as they come. My NBA record from last season and this season are listed in my bio alongside my MLB record. Without further ado, let’s dive into my favorite play for Game 3 of the Western Conference Finals.
Dorian Finney-Smith (DAL) over 17.5 points, rebounds, and assists (-130)
Line available at BetMGM Sportsbook at time of publishing.
I’m buying low on Dorian Finney-Smith tonight. Smith is one of the best 2-way players the game has. He will be chasing either Steph Curry or Klay Thompson around and then sitting in the corner watching Luka Doncic work his magic. Smith relies on Donic and Jalen Brunson drawing guys into the paint and being left open for 3. The Golden State Warriors will live with guys like Dorian Finney-Smith and Reggie Bullock beating them from the 3-point line.
Smith is unleashing on the boards. The Dallas Mavericks are running Smith at the 4 with Maxi Kleber entering into the game for Dwight Powell early into the 1st quarter. Smith has recorded 7 & 8 rebounds through the first 2 games of the series with a conversion rate of over 66%.
Smith is over this line in 60% of the 2022 playoff games and 74% when he plays at least 35 minutes. As long as Smith can stay out of foul trouble, we should see Smith go for 20+ PRA.
Be sure to check out our full game preview for Dallas Mavericks vs Golden State Warriors